2018 Arkansas Derby

2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby stark » Wed Apr 11, 2018 2:58 pm

1. Beautiful Shot, Richard Eramia

2. Machismo, Scott Spieth

3. Tenfold, Victor Espinoza

4. Dream Baby Dream, Luis Contreras

5. Solomini, Flavien Prat

6. Magnum Moon, Luis Saez

7. Plainsman, C.J. McMahon

8. Quip, Florent Geroux

9. Combatant, Ricardo Santana, Jr
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
stark
 
Posts: 3174
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2013 9:55 am
Location: SoCal

Re: 2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby Sparrow Castle » Wed Apr 11, 2018 10:47 pm

Machismo just ran in the April 7 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes and finished 12th, ahead of only Determinant and Arawak. Even the two 100+ longshots finished ahead of him. I think he's a nice horse and really hope he likes Oaklawn better than Keeneland, but could be a vaccine against Derby Fever might help him more.
User avatar
Sparrow Castle
 
Posts: 4318
Joined: Wed Sep 18, 2013 6:44 pm

Re: 2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby Big Ten » Thu Apr 12, 2018 2:25 am

Magnum Moon just so we could have two undefeated horses entered in the Kentucky Derby trained by Baffert and Pletcher to break the Apollo curse. I need the money to be spread around and an undefeated Baffert horse vs an undefeated Pletcher horses sounds too good to be true next to Scat Daddy son vs Scat Daddy son.
Rock Hard Ten. Zenyatta. Cigar. Ghostzapper. Lava Man. California Chrome. American Pharoah. Seattle Slew. Secretariat. Affirmed.
User avatar
Big Ten
 
Posts: 508
Joined: Thu Dec 19, 2013 7:35 am

Re: 2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby stark » Thu Apr 12, 2018 8:19 pm

If you don't like betting the short prices of Magnum @ 8/5 or Solomini @ 2/1.....then the very lightly raced TENFOLD at an appropriate morning line of 10/1 for Asmussen/Victor Espinoza seems like the way to go to spice up your exactas and trifectas, he's got upside. Santana opts for the other Asmussen, Combatant, but Victor ain't chopped liver on a horse that might run on forever, good luck.
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
stark
 
Posts: 3174
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2013 9:55 am
Location: SoCal

Re: 2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby Spahny » Fri Apr 13, 2018 10:45 am

stark wrote:If you don't like betting the short prices of Magnum @ 8/5 or Solomini @ 2/1.....then the very lightly raced TENFOLD at an appropriate morning line of 10/1 for Asmussen/Victor Espinoza seems like the way to go to spice up your exactas and trifectas, he's got upside. Santana opts for the other Asmussen, Combatant, but Victor ain't chopped liver on a horse that might run on forever, good luck.


Tenfold is a potential pace setter and could hold on to hit the board. His 2 wins are good but he still seems green and he would need to improve a lot to run with the favorite. Solomini is a candidate to move forward 2nd off. Combatant is in his 4th race of 2018 and has been chasing good horses. He could surprise and Santana stays with him over Tenfold. Quip could be getting good but that last race was a huge improvement. Think I'll let that one beat me. Can't play them all.

Key Magnum Moon for first then Solomini, Combatant and Tenfold to fill out the tri. Nobody will get rich on this race.
Spahny
 
Posts: 909
Joined: Wed Nov 27, 2013 9:02 pm

Re: 2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby peeptoad » Fri Apr 13, 2018 11:32 am

tri: 5,6/3,4/5,6
peeptoad
 
Posts: 2563
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:53 pm

Re: 2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby Spahny » Fri Apr 13, 2018 11:45 am

I'm a little excited to bet 2 horses tomorrow.

I like City of Light in the Oaklawn Handicap. The way he has won at 7 furlongs he should stretch out nicely. I think he could be a force in the handicap division out west this year. We could use some better older horses and he looks like he's just getting started. 3-1.

The Gary and Mary West owned Ego Trip makes his stakes debut in the Northern Spur. This $600,000 Bernardini colt out of an Unbridled Song mare broke his maiden closing into a moderate pace last out. Another one trained by Asmussen. It's hard to tell right now but Ego Trip could be really ready to break out in his 3rd start. Luis Saez will ride. 8-1. Get it while you still can?

For the late pick 4 I am trying to figure out if I can beat Whitmore? Maybe Wynn Time from off the pace? If I play a pick 4 I will single Magnum Moon and then look for Baffert horses shipping to Oaklawn I guess. He does have Ike in the Northern Spur. Flavian Prat will ride.
Spahny
 
Posts: 909
Joined: Wed Nov 27, 2013 9:02 pm

Re: 2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby MySaladDays » Fri Apr 13, 2018 8:27 pm

Dream Baby Dream is a good longshot if you play that way

I have Quip running 3rd, solomini 2nd.

Not sure who I will put in first yet.
MySaladDays
 
Posts: 793
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2014 3:16 am

Re: 2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby Izvestia » Fri Apr 13, 2018 9:42 pm

I also like City of Light in the Oaklawn.

Quip and Magnum Moon in the Ark Derby- chalk!
Izvestia
 
Posts: 3663
Joined: Fri Sep 13, 2013 7:16 am

Re: 2018 Arkansas Derby

Postby MySaladDays » Sat Apr 14, 2018 12:22 am

Izvestia wrote:Quip and Magnum Moon in the Ark Derby- chalk!


Don't HAVE to play it chalky. I can't bet Quip to win at 9/2 when he was 20-1 in tampa....THAT was the time to put the $ down on him.

IMHO the local horses have a shot here. Guess I'll check 'em all out in the paddock and decide then.
MySaladDays
 
Posts: 793
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2014 3:16 am

Next

Return to Racing

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 10 guests