I don't think so. I'm not completely versed on the genetic makeup of the figures, but I believe the day's variant(s) and other times on the day would account for the slower times due to the condition of the track. Granted the Preakness figure is probably a particularly muddy one (pun intended) to develop.Macaroni wrote:Isn't that naturally going to be the case, though, since a fast track is in essence faster than a sloppy track? (so obviously his times over a fast track will be faster than his times over a the slop)dustino140 wrote:
Most people should realize that the fastest two races of American Pharoah's career, according to both DRF and Bris, were run on a fast track (KY and ARK Derbies). Actually, Bris thinks it's the Del Mar Futurity, but we can ignore that due to the synthetic factor. If I'm an American Pharoah fan, I actually want a fast track. I think a wet track at Belmont actually results in more potential issues for the favorite than a fast track does.
FWIW, Materiality also skipped over a sloppy track in his debut at Gulfstream and Frosted and Madefromlucky have pedigrees that stand out to me in the mud.
I guess my point is that, on paper, American Pharoah isn't a faster horse in the mud than he is on the fast track, however, IMO, the mud can create more issues than a fast track can.