Mylute wrote: ↑
Sat May 04, 2019 9:07 pm
while I didn't think any of the Bafferts were superstars, I'm kind of surprised not one of them hit the board.
People are afraid to leave out the Bafferts. I watched him lose at Oaklawn this year so I was not really thinking he ALWAYS wins everything.
saw one wager today that if the person had left out the baffert's (they had them all in place position) that would have had the trifecta. They lost $5K+ including them.
the talking heads have people talked into stuff too.
I don't look at horse's odds, I handicap specifically on the sheets before the odds are put on the PPs. I am mostly a pedigree handcapper in maiden races and ones like these, where horses are doing something for first time. I know people phoo phoo that, but it actually works very well for me. But it is a lot of work.....much more than PPs only.
So it is not entirely unusual for me to pick a 30-1 shot or a 50-1 shot, because I don't look at the odds until I"m all done and have made my selections. I never think "oh , this horse can't possibly win because he's 50-1". I had the Larry Jones Stuper Steed at Oaklawn, that one was about 50-1 or a little more?
I tell new horse players never look at odds. Pick your horses first, and then decided afterwards if they are too chalky to turn a profit, in which case, just skip the race.