We actually like some of the same horses which means if I were you, I’d definitely hit those PP’s a little harder.MySaladDays wrote: ↑Fri Apr 19, 2019 12:29 amI have some very specific pedigree type angles (not gonna go into it here) and I don't see Omaha Beach winning the Derby.
I like one of these horses to win: (nothing to do with exotics or bombers I will have in those)
Code of Honor - ITM FL Derby, Fountain of Youth, Champagne, and his maiden (2 G1s and 1 G2 + maiden) and working bullets consistently since mid December
Tax - 103, 102, and 101 Brisnet speed figs, all at 1-1/8th miles.
Improbable - but does he hate blinkers?
War of Will - ran 2 G1s, 2 G2s,and 2 G3s. Won 3 of them, placed in 1 of them. Only graded stakes he did really bad in was the one where he slipped at the start (LA Derby), one on Turf, and the Bourbon G3. Most experienced graded stakes horse in the race. Blew Owendale off the track in the Risen Star.
Game Winner - has highest thorograph patterns of any horse in race.
Win Win Win - despite bad numbers, has something around 5 or 6 KY Derby and Belmont winners (each) in his pedigree
Bomber for superfecta: Spinoff
I was impressed by Improbable’s niftiness if you will, Saturday. He’s fast, quick and athletic, all good things in a Derby hopeful. I also think he’ll go without blinkers. He was only wearing cheaters, from what I could tell, and I really don’t think they achieved the desired effect.
The FL Derby was not a true indicator, in my opinion, but given it’s shape, I think Code of Honor looks the best of that bunch coming out of it. Shug knows how to train a Derby horse.
I don’t like Game Winner’s action or that he’s going to be disadvantaged by not getting a clear trip. I think he can go wide and win, however. He seems as classy as they get and he’s no quitter. If you need a wide trip, Rosario’s your man.
I wonder if War of Will is going to be short having not gotten much out of his ultimate prep? Talent wise there is much to like. The prep will make the price honest, I would think.
I always handicap Baffert’s horses based on which one he seems to like the most. Hearing him talk leading up to the 2015 TC for instance, I was sure he preferred Pharoah to Dortmund. This year the one he likes the most, I believe, is the one I like the least. I think Roadster is going to need a certain trip to get 10f. It could happen, but more likely it won’t and how likely is it that Mikey’s going to fill Geroux in as to how to shift into those gears?