The Big Cap

stark
Posts: 5426
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2013 9:55 am
Location: SoCal

Sat Mar 07, 2015 10:28 am

Strictly a trainer play, I've learned to trust that Mandella knows what he's doing.
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
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Life At Zen
Posts: 1664
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:52 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 5:38 pm

Massive class jump for Cool Samurai but maybe Shirreffs had nothing better to do today. As much as I think he doesn't stand a chance, I like to throw money away (apparently) so...
Once upon a time there was a horse named Kelso.
But only once. ~Joe Hirsch
Matt Converse
Posts: 3068
Joined: Fri Oct 04, 2013 9:10 pm
Location: San Francisco

Sat Mar 07, 2015 6:50 pm

Many of these have run in several graded stakes in a row, but they don't win, other than Shared Belief. I don't really like any of them so I went for a strange pick for 2nd, my old friend Dynamic Sky. He prefers turf but he's not bad on dirt and he should keep running at the end, hoping he can plod past Moreno who has been backing up late in all 10f attempts. I wouldn't play him normally but think the 10f suits him and the others are weak and several won't want 10f.
Izvestia
Posts: 4060
Joined: Fri Sep 13, 2013 7:16 am

Sat Mar 07, 2015 6:56 pm

Matt Converse wrote:Many of these have run in several graded stakes in a row, but they don't win, other than Shared Belief. I don't really like any of them so I went for a strange pick for 2nd, my old friend Dynamic Sky. He prefers turf but he's not bad on dirt and he should keep running at the end, hoping he can plod past Moreno who has been backing up late in all 10f attempts. I wouldn't play him normally but think the 10f suits him and the others are weak and several won't want 10f.
He's also my 2nd place choice. Dynamic Sky has shown he can run on the dirt, and he loves to go long.
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Big Ten
Posts: 785
Joined: Thu Dec 19, 2013 7:35 am

Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:06 pm

Even though I am more attached with California Chrome because he trains in Los Al while Hollendorfer is a Bay Area trainer, I hope Shared Belief romps here. I like Hollendorfer anyway esp when he campaigned Blind Luck. Shared Belief has a winning consistency that isn't common even with past American gelding greats. Forego and John Henry were not consistent right away and neither were as precocious as SB. I loved Lava Man but SB is much better than him at the same stages of their careers.

SB should win lengths by 5-6+ lengths easing up. Still, 10F is still 50/50 with him even though his only defeat had a valid excuse. That extra furlong can make so much difference between horses like Holy Bull, Rachel Alexandra, and Quality Road who excelled at 9F or less vs multiple 10F winners like Cigar, Skip Away, and Curlin.
Rock Hard Ten. Free House. Soul Of The Matter. Lit de Justice. Zenyatta. Justify. Cigar. Ghostzapper. Lava Man. Silver Charm.
sweettalk
Posts: 2136
Joined: Sat Sep 14, 2013 5:05 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:07 pm

wwooooowwwwww i am so tired of hearing about a race that was ~5 months ago. i wish sb had won without being bumped just so the discussion and bitterness wouldn't exist.
Somnambulist

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:07 pm

OMFG odds.

Wheeling the field under SB and praying a it's SB/some 99-1 shot.
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Raven
Posts: 1436
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:56 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:18 pm

Cold exacta
Shared Belief
Catch a Flight
You will soon break the bow if you keep it always stretched ~Faedus~
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Starine
Posts: 4830
Joined: Thu Jan 09, 2014 12:39 am
Location: South Carolina

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:19 pm

Did anyone else lose their picture? I've got audio but nothing else.
Somnambulist

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:21 pm

How is Moreno taking ANY money? A horse that came back from surgery with no prep at 10f. When the other option was the Razorback.
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Flanders
Posts: 3261
Joined: Fri Sep 13, 2013 7:01 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:23 pm

Somnambulist wrote:OMFG odds.

Wheeling the field under SB and praying a it's SB/some 99-1 shot.
Yeah it looks like one of Black Caviar's races. Its crazy.
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Life At Zen
Posts: 1664
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:52 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:31 pm

Holy faaaaaack Shared Belief by..... 5?
Once upon a time there was a horse named Kelso.
But only once. ~Joe Hirsch
Tessablue
Posts: 4017
Joined: Sat Nov 09, 2019 7:05 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:32 pm

I don't care how bad that field was, Shared Belief is absolutely incredible.
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Starine
Posts: 4830
Joined: Thu Jan 09, 2014 12:39 am
Location: South Carolina

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:32 pm

Moreno hung around a lot longer than I thought he would; the jock was riding him so hard on the turn I thought he was going to fold faster than Superman on laundry day.
Somnambulist

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:33 pm

Watching him is fun.
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Northport
Posts: 2363
Joined: Fri Sep 13, 2013 12:13 pm
Location: probably near the food

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:33 pm

Shared Belief is just too good. Pleasantly surprised that Moreno hung on for 2nd!
weeeeeeeee
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Insane Crazy
Posts: 3042
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 11:26 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:33 pm

He moves like a jungle cat. Just whips past them and pounces away.
Not a wholesome trottin' race, no, but a race where they sit down right on the horse!
Like to see some stuck-up jockey boy sittin' on Dan Patch? Make your blood boil? Well, I should say!
tachyon
Posts: 3969
Joined: Fri Sep 13, 2013 5:52 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:33 pm

What a horse!!
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dustino140
Posts: 5206
Joined: Sat Sep 14, 2013 4:51 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:34 pm

Can we start calling him the best horse in the world? If this guy was running in Europe, he'd already be 'one of the greatest of all time,' so it seems only fair.
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Life At Zen
Posts: 1664
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:52 pm

Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:34 pm

Somnambulist wrote:How is Moreno taking ANY money? A horse that came back from surgery with no prep at 10f. When the other option was the Razorback.
I think we know now! Minus Shared Belief and Moreno wins this against the odds.
Once upon a time there was a horse named Kelso.
But only once. ~Joe Hirsch
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