Larrys Wagering Forum

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larrythek
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Fri Mar 06, 2015 7:32 pm

2/5 was a good price...He's a monster evaluated for Zayat for purchase by Eqb.. Is it me or the longer he goes the shorter his tail is getting.... :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:


He just worked in 1:10 4/5 galloped out the mile in 1:36 :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!:
larrythek wrote:What time would American Pharoah put up if he ran in the Juvenile?

Based on his previous performance over the track and inside post position in the Juvenile combined with the inside speed bias he would not have expended much ENERGY to get gain control of the race from the 1 Post..

22.27 (2nd)
45.06 (1st)
1:09:27 (1st)
1:34:44 (1st)
1:40:62 (1st) 1st by 6 3/4



He would be 4-1 --- 9/2 to win the Kentucky Derby
Last edited by larrythek on Sun Mar 15, 2015 4:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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larrythek
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Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:42 pm

Wager on nfc in-play
Last edited by larrythek on Mon Mar 16, 2015 12:11 am, edited 2 times in total.
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larrythek
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Sun Mar 08, 2015 2:29 pm

PFs FROM YESTERDAY

READY FOR RYE..................-71 (Swale At 7F Doesn't Rank On Pace Parameters Because It Was Under A Mile)
DAREDEVIL.......................-63 (2nd In Swale)

EL KABEIR.........................-60
CARPE DIEM......................-54
DORTMUND.......................-46
EH COMPARI......................-31


PP LEADERS FOR THE YEAR COMING UP
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larrythek
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Tue Mar 10, 2015 3:04 pm

WHO CAN WIN THE DERBY TOP 10


1)CARPE DIEM
2)FAR FROM OVER
3) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
4) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
5) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
6) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
7) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
8) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)


WHO WILL NOT WIN THE DERBY

1)ADELE DAZEEM
1)AMERICAN PHAROAH
2)DAREDEVIL
3)EL KABEIR
4)TAKE CHARGE BRANDI
5)BOZO


STILL UNDER EVALUATION

1)DORTMUND
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larrythek
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Wed Mar 11, 2015 6:52 pm

TAKE CHARGE BRANDI.....OFF DERBY / OAKS TRAIL
==============================

DUBAI SHEEMA CLASSIC

MAIN SEQUENCE....9/2 --- 6/1 in future wagering available in Eurobooks... His BC TURF was 5 lengths better than Magicians 2013 BCT and 3 lengths better than St. Nicholas Abbeys 2011 BCT....

===============================

larrythek wrote:WHO CAN WIN THE DERBY TOP 10


1)CARPE DIEM
2)FAR FROM OVER
3) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
4) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
5) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
6) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
7) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
8) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)


WHO WILL NOT WIN THE DERBY

1)ADELE DAZEEM
1)AMERICAN PHAROAH
2)DAREDEVIL
3)EL KABEIR
4)TAKE CHARGE BRANDI........1 Hour After Post, Declared Off DERBY / OAKS TRAIL
5)BOLO
6)READY FOR RYE



STILL UNDER EVALUATION

1)DORTMUND
stark
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Thu Mar 12, 2015 10:09 am

larrythek wrote: Thanks to the offshore books for sending us money on time. However I received 2 $2500 Debit cards, each time I take cash I pay a big fee...I had a wire transfer that was $1100 short and 2 no pays. From 1 Sportsbook I received a check for 22K from a toy company in NY and it cleared. From another a wire transfer from Canada for $4900 ....$100 short...Mr. Clarke collected 100% of all our Eurobets........
Once upon a time, back in the 1500's there was this English Poet by the name of Thomas Tusser and I'm not sure how he knew it but he's the one that came up with the now famous quote "A fool and his money are soon parted"

Offshore trust, now there's an oxymoron for ya, good luck with that!
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
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larrythek
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Fri Mar 13, 2015 7:55 pm

Some of the Offshores are actually not as far offshore as they lead us to believe. Then there is believe it or not The Offshore Gaming Association. :lol: :lol: :lol

SPORTSROOK.CON :lol: :lol: ......
stark wrote:
larrythek wrote: Thanks to the offshore books for sending us money on time. However I received 2 $2500 Debit cards, each time I take cash I pay a big fee...I had a wire transfer that was $1100 short and 2 no pays. From 1 Sportsbook I received a check for 22K from a toy company in NY and it cleared. From another a wire transfer from Canada for $4900 ....$100 short...Mr. Clarke collected 100% of all our Eurobets........
Once upon a time, back in the 1500's there was this English Poet by the name of Thomas Tusser and I'm not sure how he knew it but he's the one that came up with the now famous quote "A fool and his money are soon parted"

Offshore trust, now there's an oxymoron for ya, good luck with that!
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larrythek
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Sat Mar 14, 2015 5:23 pm

7 Horses 75------200-1 who can win the Kentucky Derby....

1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
6)
7)

===============================


larrythek wrote:WHO CAN WIN THE DERBY TOP 10


1)CARPE DIEM
2)FAR FROM OVER
3) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
4) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
5) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
6) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
7) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
8) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)


WHO WILL NOT WIN THE DERBY

1)ADELE DAZEEM
1)AMERICAN PHAROAH
2)DAREDEVIL
3)EL KABEIR
4)TAKE CHARGE BRANDI
5)BOZO


STILL UNDER EVALUATION

1)DORTMUND
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larrythek
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Sat Mar 14, 2015 9:01 pm

I will bet dollars to donuts INTERNATIONAL STAR will be the Wise Guy Horse for the Derby, and not run better than 5th..
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larrythek
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Sun Mar 15, 2015 4:34 pm

Max you can win on an IN-PLAY wager ranges from $100 to $2500, depending on the Book..If you try to win more than max permits at some books, you have to do the process all over while somebody else snaps up the price. TV commercials during the NFC, AFC & SUPER BOWL are long enough to make plenty of wagers as long as you have a calculator by your side....
Screenshot (4) - Copy.jpg
Screenshot (4) - Copy.jpg (59.8 KiB) Viewed 1470 times
larrythek wrote:NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME-----IN PLAY WAGERING MIRACLE TAKES DOWN HUGE SCORES

The Seahawks were 8 point favorites which remained steady all week. It was impossible to get info on how Aaron Rodgers calf injury would be by gametime ----the key to the game. So we decided to load up accounts for IN-PLAY Wagering. I was hoping the Seahawks would fall behind early and we would get better odds on them IN-PLAY...The Seahawks were -300 to win the game but by the middle of the 2nd Quarter the Seahawks found themselves down 16-0 and the odds for them winning the game were +200. I kept saying double what Green Bay Has and add 3..Leading by 16 points the Packers intercepted the ball and they broke to commercial deep in Seahawk territory... I added 3 more points for Green Bay by the half plus 7 for Green Bay in the second half, than doubled that for what Seattle would score and added 3, the amount they would win by . That's 55 POINTS. The Under / Over at commercial was 46 1/2---48 1/2 at most IN-PLAY-SITES and we maxed out until 2 sites posted something I have never seen before on 2 sites..WE ARE NO LONGER TAKING IN-PLAY WAGERING ON THE TOTAL (OVER - UNDER)...We wagered on the SEAHAWKS down 16-0 and got +200 right before halftime....By the start of the 4th Quarter the Seahawks were down 19-7 when I received this text.....

RC CLARKE...Lar, I think the Over is over. Think the Hawks are still going to win?

LTK......YES, SEATTLE will win...No comMent on the OVERSl.

With 7 minutes left in the game the Packers had the ball and IN-PLAY wagering was Seahawks +500--to +700, Packers -800---to -1100...We bought the Seahawks at max wagers at all sites..

Seahawks get the ball back but failed to get a 1st down and punted on 4th down..When it broke for commercial, SEAHAWKS are now +750 to +900...Again we max bet wagers at next commercial with the Seahawks trailing 19-7 and 3 minutes 50 seconds left...The next Text message..

RC Clarke...We have to score and have an onside kick recovery or its over!!!! They are taking to much time to score...

LTK...Not necessarily....The SEAHAWKS have the 2 min. warning and 1 timeout left which will leave them with 40 seconds or so if they hold the Packers to a 3 and out. They will win, I feel it...


SEAHAWKS score a touchdown on the very next play , and the game is now PACKERS 19 SEAHAWKS 14 with 2:09 left in the game....

LTK.........OMG!!!!!!!! They recovered the onside kick. If they score, they better get the 2 Point Conversion!! The Packers will get a chance to win if they don't...If the Seahawks score, get the 2 Point conversion and Green Bay ties the game with a field goal, It goes into overtime with 44 points scored. If Seahawks win OT coin toss and score a Touchdown on the 1st drive we hit all the Over wagers and win all our SEAHAWK bets too..LOL

RC CLARKE...If we just win the damn game screw the over...I hope you're not rooting for an overtime?????....

LTK.....SEAHAWKS SCORED TOUCHDOWN and take the lead.!!!!!!!!!!! They need this 2 point try RC.....

RC CLARKE...YES...They Got it...OMG SEAHAWKS are going to win.....

LTK..Rogers will bring the Packers down for at least a long field goal try, it's not over..

RC CLARKE......Oh no...the Packers are in field goal range...I'm rooting he misses it, we'll still clean up ....

LTK........He made it........Overtime!!!!!!! ??????.......

LTK.....SEAHAWKS get the ball 1st......If they score a touchdown we win everything, all the Overs with 50 Points Scored.....If they win by a field goal that's 47 points, half the overs we will win, half we lose...

LARRYS NEATO STATS OF THE YEAR......1)ONLY 3 OVERTIMES IN PLAYOFF HISTORY ENDED WITH A TOUCHDOWN
..................................................2)ONLY 1 TEAM DOWN 16 OR MORE POINTS IN A PLAYOFF GAME CAME BACK TO WIN THE GAME

SEAHAWKS DRIVE DOWN TO THE PACKER 35 YARD LINE WHEEN THE MIRACLE HAPPENNED

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pywYhRoE6Lw

===================================================================================

RC Clarke..........SEAHAWKS WIN

LTK....There were 24 POINTS scored in the last 3 minutes and OT + the Seahawks win!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thanks to the offshore books for sending us money on time. However I received 2 $2500 Debit cards, each time I take cash I pay a big fee...I had a wire transfer that was $1100 short and 2 no pays. From 1 Sportsbook I received a check for 22K from a toy company in NY and it cleared. From another a wire transfer from Canada for $4900 ....$100 short...Mr. Clarke collected 100% of all our Eurobets........
Last edited by larrythek on Mon Mar 16, 2015 12:31 am, edited 3 times in total.
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larrythek
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Sun Mar 15, 2015 4:47 pm

.
larrythek wrote:2/5 was a good price.. Is it me or the longer American Pharoah goes the shorter his tail is getting.... :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: I was going to max bet him in the juvy 3/2 and lay him in the Derby...


He just worked in 1:10 4/5 galloped out the mile in 1:36 :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!:
larrythek wrote:What time would American Pharoah put up if he ran in the Juvenile?

Based on his previous performance over the track and inside post position in the Juvenile combined with the inside speed bias he would not have expended much ENERGY to get gain control of the race from the 1 Post..

22.27 (2nd)
45.06 (1st)
1:09:27 (1st)
1:34:44 (1st)
1:40:62 (1st) 1st by 6 3/4



He would be 4-1 --- 9/2 to win the Kentucky Derby
Last edited by larrythek on Mon Mar 16, 2015 7:59 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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larrythek
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Sun Mar 15, 2015 6:15 pm

Kentuckian, MSW winner at Golden Gate by 11 will not be a late nomination to the Triple Crown. He'll go in a 1st Level Allowance and will look towards Stakes races in the summer. Dorf said they won't rush him..Baze is Jockey....
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larrythek
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Sat Mar 21, 2015 8:38 pm

ONE LUCKY DANE.......IN RARIFIED AIR WITH PREP RACE

Became only the 14th horse in 16 Years Of monitoring Derby Pace Parameters which includes over 700 Derby Trail Horses and 2000 PREP RACES ran by said horsesto project a 10 Furlong Time in the 1:58s in a Derby Prep...3 went on to run 1st or 2nd in the Derby..


N)ONE LUCKY DANE.......1:58.88
1)SOCIAL INCLUSION.....1:58.28
2)CAPO BASTONE.........1:58.85
3)I'LL HAVE ANOTHER....1:58.64....WON DERBY
4)BODEMEISTER...........1:58.36....2ND IN DERBY
5)SECRET CIRCLE.........1:58:80
10)CHARISMATIC..........1:58.80....WON DERBY 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)


Was just asked to leave Hard Rock Cafe in Las Vegas for counting cards. I work for Ben Affleck, Thanks for the free money!!!!..The Mirage wasn't that nice either..Hotel ASS. Manager said I can't use "Tor Browser" with their free Wifi....
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larrythek
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Sun Mar 22, 2015 9:24 pm

I'm going over to Wynns Sportsbook and raise my hands and shout "hands up, don't shoot" if I see somebody wager on Firing Line...
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larrythek
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Mon Mar 23, 2015 2:42 pm

Very tough Year...Could be as many as 10 of the 20 Starters with a good chance to win the Derby as of now..5 Have few or no Points....Last Preps, Defections, & "The Works" could be more important than your average year...

WHO WILL NOT WIN DERBY

1)FIRING LINE......HANDS UP, DON'T SHOOT
2)TAKE CHARGE BRANDI (Injured, but was on list before announcement)
3)METABOSS
4)INTERNATIONAL STAR
5)BOLO.........................SHOULD BE A SUPERB TURF HORSE UP TO 9F
6)MAFTOOL
7)MR. Z
8)CONQUEST TYPHOON......UNCLEAR HIS ROAD, BUT IT'S NOT THE DERBY WINNERS CIRCLE
9)LORD NELSON
10)ITS A KNOCKOUT
11)DAREDEVIL
12)OCHO OCHO OCHO

=========================

UNDER CONSIDERATION....


1)CARPE DIEM.............MOVED FROM WHO COULD WIN DERBY...... :shock: :shock: ..Will NOT be my Derby Horse. could hit Exotics..
2)AMERICAN PHAROAH......MOVED FROM WHO WILL LOSE DERBY.... :shock: :shock:..Top 2 & 3 Year Old From a visual perspective..Need 1 more race to decide where he belongs..
3)MUBTAAHIJ.................Will wait until UAE Derby is run to make a final decision..
4)EL KABEIR...................MOVED FROM WHO WILL LOSE DERBY..... ;) ;) ;)...4 Preps before Derby bad decision or he would be in my TOP 3..


===============================

WHO CAN WIN DERBY


NOT IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE

1)MATERIALITY
2)FAR FROM OVER
3)PROSPECT PARK
4)DORTMUND
5)UPSTART
6)DUBAI SKY
7)WAR STORY
8)ONE GREAT DANE

=======================================






larrythek wrote:WHO CAN WIN THE DERBY TOP 10


1)CARPE DIEM
2)FAR FROM OVER
3) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
4) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
5) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
6) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
7) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
8) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)


WHO WILL NOT WIN THE DERBY

1)ADELE DAZEEM
1)AMERICAN PHAROAH
2)DAREDEVIL
3)EL KABEIR
4)TAKE CHARGE BRANDI
5)BOLO


STILL UNDER EVALUATION

1)DORTMUND
Last edited by larrythek on Tue Mar 24, 2015 5:10 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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larrythek
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Mon Mar 23, 2015 4:22 pm

..
larrythek wrote:Very tough Year...Could be as many as 10 of the 20 Starters with a good chance to win the Derby as of now..5 potential winners Have few or no Points....Last Preps, Defections, & "The Works" could be more important than your average year...
MONDAY MARCH 23
WHO WILL NOT WIN DERBY

1)FIRING LINE......HANDS UP, DON'T SHOOT
2)TAKE CHARGE BRANDI (Injured, but was on list before announcement)
3)METABOSS
4)INTERNATIONAL STAR
5)BOLO.........................SHOULD BE A SUPERB TURF HORSE UP TO 9F
6)MAFTOOL
7)MR. Z
8)CONQUEST TYPHOON......UNCLEAR HIS ROAD, BUT IT'S NOT THE DERBY WINNERS CIRCLE
9)LORD NELSON
10)ITS A KNOCKOUT
11)DAREDEVIL
12)OCHO OCHO OCHO

=========================

UNDER EVALUATION....


1)CARPE DIEM.............MOVED FROM WHO COULD WIN DERBY...... :shock: :shock: ..Will NOT be my Derby Horse. could hit Exotics..
2)AMERICAN PHAROAH......MOVED FROM WHO WILL LOSE DERBY.... :shock: :shock:..Top 2 & 3 Year Old From a visual perspective..Need 1 more race to decide where he belongs..
3)MUBTAAHIJ.................Will wait until UAE Derby is run to make a final decision..
4)EL KABEIR...................MOVED FROM WHO WILL LOSE DERBY..... ;) ;) ;)...4 Preps before Derby bad decision or he would be in my TOP 3..


===============================

WHO CAN WIN DERBY


NOT IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE

1)MATERIALITY
2)FAR FROM OVER
3)PROSPECT PARK
4)DORTMUND
5)UPSTART
6)DUBAI SKY
7)WAR STORY
8)ONE GREAT DANE

=======================================






larrythek wrote:WHO CAN WIN THE DERBY TOP 10


MONDAY MARCH 11

1)CARPE DIEM
2)FAR FROM OVER
3) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
4) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
5) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
6) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
7) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
8) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)


WHO WILL NOT WIN THE DERBY

1)ADELE DAZEEM
1)AMERICAN PHAROAH
2)DAREDEVIL
3)EL KABEIR
4)TAKE CHARGE BRANDI
5)BOLO


STILL UNDER EVALUATION

1)DORTMUND
Last edited by larrythek on Mon Mar 23, 2015 9:11 pm, edited 4 times in total.
Senator L
Posts: 1109
Joined: Thu Sep 12, 2013 8:44 pm

Mon Mar 23, 2015 5:38 pm

WHO CAN WIN DERBY
NOT IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE
1)MATERIALITY
2)FAR FROM OVER
3)PROSPECT PARK
4)DORTMUND
5)UPSTART
6)DUBAI SKY
7)WAR STORY
8)ONE GREAT DANE

Your short 12...if Mine That Bird can win anybody can
How is Dortmund still under evaluation? What is there left to evaluate :cry: ?
No one has ever bet enough on a winning horse.
Richard Sasuly
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Diver52
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Mon Mar 23, 2015 6:02 pm

Personally I think larry is somehow sending coded information to the Russians.
I ran marathons. I saw the Taj Mahal by Moonlight. I drove Highway 1 in a convertible. I petted Zenyatta.
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larrythek
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Mon Mar 23, 2015 8:40 pm

That was a Post From March 11th that had "DORTMUND" under evaluation..It was carried down with a quote post to appear like It was from tody..Today has a new list 2 weeks after my March 11th Post...Dortmund is now a Derby "Can Win Horse"....

My new list has Dortmund in the "Can Win The Derby"...He is no longer "under evaluation" or "under consideration" based on my latest calculations which includes prep race performance figures and DETAILED Pedigree Profile work I have been doing on each possible derby horse.. If he runs a poor race in the Santa Anita Derby, his status could change again. The numbers are a fluid situation that can change the way I view a horses chances to win the derby after each race they run....

Borel took Mine that Bird to the rail on a Track rated sloppy, (which is rare) but sealed and drying out...Not only did he have to run a much shorter distance, it was on a part of the track that had better footing-- so much so, that Mine That Bird made the the other horses look like they were standing still. Pioneer Of The Nile finished a distant 2nd....Mine that Bird was from Birdstone who was the Belmont / Travers winner in 2004 and his Broodmare sire was Smart Strike. He didn't have the numbers to win the race, but the breeding was evident in winning the Sunland Park Derby...... I had him in my exotics, but did not expect him to win.

I am sorry to confuse you guys, but I have been busy watching tapes from basketball games after returning from a short trip to Vegas..I've also been dealing with estate issues as well...
Senator L wrote:WHO CAN WIN DERBY
NOT IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE
1)MATERIALITY
2)FAR FROM OVER
3)PROSPECT PARK
4)DORTMUND
5)UPSTART
6)DUBAI SKY
7)WAR STORY
8)ONE GREAT DANE

Your short 12...if Mine That Bird can win anybody can
How is Dortmund still under evaluation? What is there left to evaluate :cry: ?
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larrythek
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Sat Apr 04, 2015 3:58 pm


#1
CARPE DIEM......BIG MISTAKE IN CALCULATIONS (AT LEAST 20 CARPE DIEMS IN MY 3 PEDIGREE SITE).....COULD STILL WIN DERBY, ALBEIT A LTTLE LIGHT ON BROODMARE SIRE.... Center Of Distribution .41, Adjusted it is .34.....(Larrys Stats)
LOVE HIM TODAY IN BLUEGRASS !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

CARPE DIEM TO WIN @ 4/5 or highrer, (UNLIKELY.)..

==========================================================
#2
MODEST ICE COLD EXACTA

CARPE DIEM
FRAMMENTO

===============================================================
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