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by Tessablue
Mon May 06, 2019 3:20 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 'Categories' of Stewards Rules, TIF Discussion
Replies: 7
Views: 418

Re: 'Categories' of Stewards Rules, TIF Discussion

I think Category 1 might work well on big sweeping tracks where every horse typically gets a shot in the straightaway, but I agree that it loses an element of safety, especially in the narrow tracks and occasionally-large fields of American racing. Consider the following scenarios: 1. A huge favorit...
by Tessablue
Mon May 06, 2019 1:58 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Preakness Stakes
Replies: 196
Views: 9330

Re: 2019 Preakness Stakes

I now live in a world where people defend Jason Servis. While attacking Bill Mott! What a world we live in. RE: Servis, I'm not sure there's anything tangible yet, but if you hang around twitter and or forums you'll see a lot of smoke. I have no idea if there's actual fire, but it was there long be...
by Tessablue
Mon May 06, 2019 1:47 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby : Do you agree with the stewards decision?
Replies: 151
Views: 7791

Re: Kentucky Derby : Do you agree with the stewards decision?

From: https://www.paulickreport.com/news/triple-crown/west-slams-churchill-downs-promises-legal-action-on-stewards-ruling-on-the-today-show/ “I obviously saw the horse move out but in the Kentucky Derby where you've got 20 horses … and you shouldn't have 20 horses in the Kentucky Derby. Churchill Do...
by Tessablue
Sun May 05, 2019 12:31 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

I admittedly don't understand the fervor over who claimed foul and who didn't, but here's an article clearing a lot of that up: https://www.drf.com/news/preview/country-house-maximum-security-unlikely-get-rematch-preakness?type= The connections of War of Will did not claim foul. Trainer Mark Casse s...
by Tessablue
Sun May 05, 2019 12:26 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Horse Racing is now officially a joke
Replies: 98
Views: 3575

Re: Horse Racing is now officially a joke

The amount of press we are getting over this is insane. All over ESPN, morning news shows, all over talk radio, Donald Trump is commenting on it... this might not be a bad thing. Lmaaaaoooo I just saw the tweet. Now I know it was the right decision. Let everyone argue over who was robbed and who wa...
by Tessablue
Sun May 05, 2019 12:23 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: The 2019 Derby Pool Contest- Results are In!
Replies: 55
Views: 2012

Re: The 2019 Derby Pool Contest- Results are In!

INQUIRY INQUIRY INQUIRY Sorry, Squeak, but it looks like you selected Code of Honor (Pool B) as your Pool C selection. If I missed something due to editing, I apologize to all especially Squeaky and ask that Tessa "Maximum Security" me to last place with 0 points. 1. Select one horse from each of t...
by Tessablue
Sun May 05, 2019 2:26 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

No matter what we do, we can't win...according to USA Today. Can't wait to see how mainstream press cover this. Opinion: Maximum Security was robbed at Kentucky Derby, yet another black eye in horse racing Perhaps the most amazing part of horse racing’s decline into relative obscurity among major A...
by Tessablue
Sun May 05, 2019 1:43 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

My own figures give Country House a predicted 100 Beyer and Maximum Security a 103. The final time was actually fine given the track and how slow the early pace was, but the field was quite compressed at the finish which indicates a weaker race. Regarding that pace, which would probably be a major t...
by Tessablue
Sun May 05, 2019 1:18 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

The Trakus numbers are finally up for the Derby! http://tnetwork.trakus.com/tnet/t_Churchill.aspx Some observations; Country House ran 51 feet further than Maximum Security. Tacitus ran 76 feet further, and Game Winner ran a ridiculous 103 feet further than the original winner. Game Winner seriously...
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 10:23 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: The 2019 Derby Pool Contest- Results are In!
Replies: 55
Views: 2012

Re: The 2019 Derby Pool Contest

The results are in! Let's congratulate Squeaky for a flawless array of selections, and let's also thank them for winning by daylight so I didn't have to implement a very messy tiebreaker. The official order of finish (note that these numbers were calculated using the official race order of finish as...
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 9:45 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Mylute wrote:
Sat May 04, 2019 9:41 pm
Well, I actually already wrote it back in...February. I could only use 10-12 sources so I could only touch on two or three points and I had a week to do so, so its shorter and simple.
Whoops. Well, today must have given you a lot of material for a sequel ;)
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 9:39 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

That was my biggest point for the paper; that a more educated betting public has bet down the right horse. I don't think the points system is solely to blame because, despite people talking about how it "keeps the sprinters out", we've had fast Derbies and it didn't keep speedballs like Danzing Can...
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 9:30 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby : Do you agree with the stewards decision?
Replies: 151
Views: 7791

Re: Kentucky Derby : Do you agree with the stewards decision?

I saw one twitter comment that I had to sit on my hands for and that was "Its the horses behind the front runners job to stay out of Maximum Security's way" LOL yea because all jockey's are psychic now and know when a horse will veer out into their path? Guess any horse not in the lead better slow ...
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 9:25 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Triple Crown
Replies: 20
Views: 871

Re: 2019 Triple Crown

Casse has already said that War of Will would run in the Preakness, but I suppose we'll see how he came out of this race. He has the right to be pretty bodysore after that.
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 9:24 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

The chart is up! Turns out Improbable actually went off favored, so our favorite streak would have been broken either way. Yay! My research paper is (kind of) wrong! (joke, but still lol) Hey, I'd still call that close enough! Honestly, it's a great topic for a paper. It's absolutely extraordinary ...
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 9:18 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

The chart is up! Turns out Improbable actually went off favored, so our favorite streak would have been broken either way.
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 9:13 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

A fantastic picture by Jim Leuenberger over at DRF (article here: https://www.drf.com/news/preview/country-house-wins-kentucky-derby-dq-maximum-security?type= ) showing how extensively War of Will was impeded. Extraordinary athletcisim on his part to stay on his feet. https://www.drf.com/sites/defau...
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 9:06 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Master Fencer(JPN) to Kentucky Derby
Replies: 35
Views: 2264

Re: Master Fencer(JPN) to Kentucky Derby

Master of Hounds finished a fairly extraordinary fifth a few years back. But Master Fencer's effort is certainly up there!
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 8:57 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Selections
Replies: 50
Views: 1984

Re: Kentucky Derby Selections

Thank you Tessa. As you can see I"m kinda beating myself up for putting the #8 in fourth place. Oh well. That would have been over $5K for just 50 cents. I just wasn't that fond of him, like vekoma I didn't like that he doesn't seem to run in a straight line. I know that feeling, but there will alw...
by Tessablue
Sat May 04, 2019 8:45 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 14930

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Wait I just realized I have no idea how to score the Derby Pool contest now. I suddenly disagree with the decision!! I looked at it and you have one clear winner that had the trifecta. I was wondering what would happen if you had to go to the margin of victory tie breaker? Despair, because the offi...