Search found 785 matches

by Big Ten
Sat May 04, 2019 12:15 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

My Top 2 picks are now the Top 2 betting choices. I'm cool with that. The loss of Omaha Beach has also helped lowered their odds. The betting public hadn't been wrong since 2012. That's why it's better these days to bet on them as Futures. There is a risk there as well like Omaha Beach scratching. B...
by Big Ten
Sat May 04, 2019 8:47 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

I really liked that story about how Serengeti Empress got her name. "Africa" by Toto is one of my favorite songs of all-time. Way before I heard it in that Family Guy episode about Joe and Bonnie. I love that song and "I'll Be Over You" with Michael McDonald as backup vocals. Serengeti Express was f...
by Big Ten
Sat May 04, 2019 12:52 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

If Max doesn't win this race, it will bring me back to 2006. I got 18-1 on Barbaro in the first pool but I was so high on Sweetnorthernsaint. His ML was 10-1 but he ended up being the favorite at 11-2. Barbaro was 6-1. Brother Derek was 8-1 but I forgot he broke from the #1 gate. Max could be just l...
by Big Ten
Fri May 03, 2019 9:30 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 132
Views: 10246

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

Bettors are smart. They're not falling for Roadster. He's currently at 10-1! Game Winner, 9-2 Maximum Security, 5-1 Improbable, 5-1 Tacitus, 5-1 Roadster, 10-1 My top two choices might actually end up fighting for favoritism in the race! Throw in Tacitus with all that NY money pouring in late. Tacit...
by Big Ten
Fri May 03, 2019 2:07 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Cutting Humor moves up a little with Mike Smith getting the mount. Baffert should've just let Mike ride Roadster again or even Improbable. I still don't have much faith in Cutting Humor. Still not a Top 3 horse for me. I might have to re-edit my Derby Contest picks a 4th time though. The #10 gate is...
by Big Ten
Fri May 03, 2019 12:13 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Baffert now has the 3 shortest prices in the field
Replies: 12
Views: 974

Re: Baffert now has the 3 shortest prices in the field

I actually hope that's the case. I need Maximum Security to be 7-1 or higher but I'll probably end up with 5-1 as someone will put millions on him at the very last minute. My OG pick, Improbable, is worth a second look. He did finish only 1 length behind Omaha Beach. Earned a 99 Beyer. He does check...
by Big Ten
Thu May 02, 2019 1:46 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/05/2019-kentucky-derby-post-positions-and-odds Game Winner, 4-1 Roadster, 9-2 Improbable, 5-1 Maximum Security, 6-1 Tacitus, 8-1 If Max is only 5-1, I'll throw in another $20 for the win. Try to win $100. If he's 6-1, I'll put $30. If he's 7-1 or 8-1, I'll put $60 or te...
by Big Ten
Thu May 02, 2019 9:51 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Haikal (Rajiv Maragh) could be out. I have to keep editing my Derby Contest picks. From #13-#20 moves another slot down. 1. Maximum Security 2. Improbable 3. Tacitus 4. Game Winner (likely chalk) 5. Roadster 6. Vekoma 7. Tax 8. Cutting Humor 9. Spinoff 10. Code of Honor 11. War of Will 12. Country H...
by Big Ten
Thu May 02, 2019 1:23 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Game Winner had shown early speed but it was when he was still 2. Roadster showed some early speed in the race prior to the SA Derby but it was the only race he ever showed it. Plus Que Parfait isn't that bad at all. Didn’t realize he was the UAE Derby winner beating Gray Magician. Doesn't mean I li...
by Big Ten
Thu May 02, 2019 12:21 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Forecast for Louisville is 70% chance of precipitation by 5pm local time. About 58% between 6pm - 7pm. Horses need to ride the rail since that's the driest part of the track. Rewatch Mine That Bird, Always Dreaming, Justify... Mud lover with early speed is going to win. Maximum Security is almost li...
by Big Ten
Wed May 01, 2019 10:25 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Omaha Beach out!
Replies: 11
Views: 938

Re: Omaha Beach out!

I don't think Mike should regret picking Omaha Beach over Roadster. It's not like he can predict OB will be scratched. It's not personal. But it would sting a little if he watched Roadster win the roses. Just a little. He did win the Triple Crown last year so he'll get over it real quick. I don't se...
by Big Ten
Wed May 01, 2019 8:01 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

So Omaha Beach's scratch means Roadster moves to post #16 and Game Winner to #15. I'm ok with OB scratched because he already did win the Arkansas Derby for me. So my $28 Future loss is ok because he did win me over $32+ in that race. We're square. But I do hope now Maximum Security and Improbable d...
by Big Ten
Wed May 01, 2019 7:45 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 132
Views: 10246

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

New Top 5 1. Maximum Security 2. Improbable 3. Tacitus 4. Game Winner 5. Roadster I believe Maximum Security will still handle them all and win easily. Omaha Beach was not that much faster than our overrated California 3YOs we have. And the separation between the Baffert trio is very small. I'm movi...
by Big Ten
Wed May 01, 2019 7:33 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Omaha Beach Scratched
Replies: 17
Views: 1396

Re: Omaha Beach Scratched

There goes my $28 on Omaha Beach. I'm actually still very, very confident. The more I think about it, the more Max is going to win easily. He's the FASTEST horse in the field. Even if OB was in the field, Max would beat him. His final 3/8ths was like 7 lengths faster. His odds are obviously going to...
by Big Ten
Wed May 01, 2019 11:54 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 132
Views: 10246

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

Gate 10 produces Derby winners at an 11 percent clip, and horses finish in the money (top three) from there a remarkable 29.3 percent of the time. Cutting Humor will break from post 10 this weekend. Last year, I did like Audible who shared the same owners as Justify except trained by Pletcher and r...
by Big Ten
Wed May 01, 2019 1:11 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

My Baffert horse, Improbable, gets the best post position at #5. I remember saying how unlucky he was getting the outside post in the Rebel 1 and the #1 post in the Arkansas Derby. I remember hoping he would get a great post and he finally did. It would be pretty cool if the first horse I ever liked...
by Big Ten
Tue Apr 30, 2019 8:37 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/233383/derby-morning-line-favorite-omaha-beach-lands-post-12 Maximum Security romped in Florida Gulfstream on a wet track, and won by 9-1/2 running away, and then he ran 7fl in 1.21. at Gulfstream winning by 18-1/2 ..he is a mud ,slop loving Race Hors...
by Big Ten
Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:58 pm
Forum: Horsin' Around
Topic: TV Discussion Thread
Replies: 994
Views: 137423

Re: TV Discussion Thread

"Melisandre in the clutch!" "What are you doing, Bran? Oh, he's watching the Avengers." https://youtu.be/4paMhG7XsnI 1. The Long Night 2. Battle of the Bastards 3. The Watchers on the Wall 4. Hardhome 5. The Rains of Castamere 6. The Spoils of War 7. The Winds of Winter Four of the Top 7 were all di...
by Big Ten
Tue Apr 30, 2019 3:08 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 24524

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Mike Smith must feel very relieved right now. #12 or #17? 12 - 3 winners 17 - 0 winners Omaha Beach is a better horse anyway, rain or shine. Mike picked the right one. Plus, it seems Bob and Mike have a great relationship. Better than Bob and Victor right now (Pharoah vs Chrome thing). If I was Vict...
by Big Ten
Tue Apr 30, 2019 2:32 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 132
Views: 10246

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

1. Maximum Security 2. Omaha Beach 3. Tacitus 4. Improbable 5. Game Winner ^ That looks like a final Top 5 for me, rain or shine. My Top 3 last year was... 1. Justify 2. Mendelssohn 3. Audible Obviously, Mendelssohn was nowhere to be found like Magnum Moon and Good Magic finished 2nd. How I feel abo...