Search found 1056 matches

by Kennedy
Mon May 07, 2018 9:41 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: The 2018 Kentucky Derby Pool Contest- Results are in!
Replies: 66
Views: 8941

Re: The 2018 Kentucky Derby Pool Contest- Results are in!

Well done everyone!, Always a pleasure
by Kennedy
Fri May 04, 2018 12:57 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2018 Kentucky Oaks
Replies: 44
Views: 5482

Re: 2018 Kentucky Oaks

I think Midnight Bisou is the one to beat. I do think My Miss Lilly should run well though. I've really been impressed with her progression and I think she can keep on getting better. Those two for me.
by Kennedy
Thu May 03, 2018 3:56 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Derby contender thoughts
Replies: 74
Views: 9785

Re: Derby contender thoughts

Great job Tessa. Loved reading your thoughts! Thanks Kennedy, I've learned (and continue to learn) so much from you over the years, it means a lot to hear that! Not at all. I could read your stuff all day :) I think you do a great job not only picking out little details and observations but writing...
by Kennedy
Thu May 03, 2018 1:21 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Derby contender thoughts
Replies: 74
Views: 9785

Re: Derby contender thoughts

Tessablue wrote:Some notes from DRF live this morning... according to Servis, Firenze Fire will be sending.
...and we all wonder if anyone will even notice :)

Feels as relevant as Rich Eisen "sending" in an Olympic 1,500 meter.
by Kennedy
Thu May 03, 2018 11:52 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Derby contender thoughts
Replies: 74
Views: 9785

Re: Derby contender thoughts

Great job Tessa. Loved reading your thoughts!
by Kennedy
Thu May 03, 2018 11:48 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Final Derby Picks
Replies: 86
Views: 9057

Re: Final Derby Picks

Predicted Order of finish Audible Free Drop Billy Justify Good Magic Win Selections (in order of preference) Audible Justify Mendelssohn Underneath Free Drop Billy Good Magic My Boy Jack Hofburg Vino Rosso Flameaway Combatant With a fictitious $100 to spend $32 W - Audible $5 Exacta box Audible Jus...
by Kennedy
Wed May 02, 2018 5:32 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: GREYVITOS
Replies: 23
Views: 4069

Re: GREYVITOS

It’s not that he doesn’t fit it’s the timing that’s off. The Lexington made little sense in the scheme of things. I don’t remember how many points he has but the Lexington would have given him only 20 more had he won. At best he would have been on the bubble. He ran the way one would expect, show s...
by Kennedy
Wed May 02, 2018 5:08 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: GREYVITOS
Replies: 23
Views: 4069

Re: GREYVITOS

I think one potential reason for running him here is that he does actually have a chance to win the race. The post won't help but it's not ridiculous to run a horse 3 weeks after they last ran. I can imagine that they see the Lexington as a race that he got something out of and they want to build on...
by Kennedy
Wed May 02, 2018 1:42 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Derby contender thoughts
Replies: 74
Views: 9785

Re: Derby contender thoughts

Workout form numbers for this years race. Workout form is just a home grown measurement of a horses pre-Derby works (post last prep) to their works prior to their last prep. A 1.00 basically means no change and a number less than 1 means they aren't working as sharply as they did prior. Audible 0.98...
by Kennedy
Wed May 02, 2018 1:01 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Derby post race interviews
Replies: 8
Views: 1363

Re: Derby post race interviews

From Kent Desourmeaux "...he just gave me his life"
by Kennedy
Wed May 02, 2018 10:21 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2018 Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (G1)-05/05
Replies: 46
Views: 5449

Re: 2018 Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (G1)-0

Fun...here's mine

You got: You're totally Bolt D'Oro

You're incredibly focused on winning, and you've been training for a long time to do exactly that. You were born to be a champion, and nothing will stop you from achieving your dreams.
by Kennedy
Wed May 02, 2018 10:02 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: The 2018 Kentucky Derby Pool Contest- Results are in!
Replies: 66
Views: 8941

Re: The 2018 Kentucky Derby Pool Contest

Pool A
Audible

Pool B
Good Magic

Pool C
My Boy Jack

Pool D
Free Drop Billy

Pool E
Lone Sailor

Sire
Scat Daddy

Margin of victory - 2 1/2 lengths
Final time - 2:01 1/5
by Kennedy
Tue May 01, 2018 5:56 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Justify
Replies: 1131
Views: 149604

Re: Justify

That's how I view Justify. Like Big Brown a decade ago Big Brown vs the field Big Brown top BSF - 106 *Field top BSF - 103 Avg prep winning fig - 95 # of entrant with 100+ BSFs as 3yos - 4 Field winning pct - 48% Justify vs the field Justify top BSF - 107 *Field top BSF - 106 Avg prep winning fig -...
by Kennedy
Tue May 01, 2018 5:14 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2018 Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (G1)-05/05
Replies: 46
Views: 5449

Re: 2018 Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (G1)-0

Post positions by average finish position (from 1998-present) Post# - Average - Rank 1 - 11.3 - 17 2 - 9.4 - 6 3 - 9.8 - 8 4 - 9.9 - 10 5 - 7.1 - 1 6 - 12.0 - 18 7 - 9.9 - 10 8 - 8.3 - 2 9 - 10.3 - 12 10 - 10.6 - 15 11 - 8.4 - 3 12 - 10.4 - 13 13 - 8.8 - 4 14 - 9.9 - 9 15 - 10.5 - 14 16 - 9.1 - 5 17...
by Kennedy
Tue May 01, 2018 4:44 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Justify
Replies: 1131
Views: 149604

Re: Justify

Also it would be nice to hear the end of this "curse".

It's not a curse it's something that just happens to be true right now.
by Kennedy
Tue May 01, 2018 4:40 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Justify
Replies: 1131
Views: 149604

Re: Justify

Magnum Moon's Arkansas Derby made me a little concerned for a moment if I should pick Justify FTW in the Kentucky Derby. But I'll stick to my prediction. I hope I can get 3-1 but I highly doubt it. More likely 2-1 or less. Justify is getting a ton of hype. The thing is say Justify does lose the Ken...
by Kennedy
Tue May 01, 2018 12:52 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Derby Point Races 2018
Replies: 692
Views: 68819

Re: Derby Point Races 2018

I think the post draw may have killed my hopes for using Combatant as a viable longshot. Or it could be a way to keep his price up and force his hand on a new tactical style which may suit him. Just a theory but as I've been watching this horse through the spring I've been seeing more and more para...
by Kennedy
Tue May 01, 2018 10:51 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Derby Point Races 2018
Replies: 692
Views: 68819

Re: Derby Point Races 2018

For anyone who cares you can see a handy reference chart for the 20-20 system throughout it's existence by clicking on the link below. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lfAtLlKipD_rs2BuhGx7XOpLKBm_dEvE9_990yP6kF0/edit?usp=sharing Hey Kennedy, if you don't mind I am going to use the 2020 #s fo...
by Kennedy
Tue May 01, 2018 10:45 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Derby contender thoughts
Replies: 74
Views: 9785

Re: Derby contender thoughts

I should also mention, just in case people think I'm some kind of expert, that my personal Derby record is 21-4-3-0 and the last time I was really in top form was the turn of the century.
by Kennedy
Tue May 01, 2018 10:36 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Derby contender thoughts
Replies: 74
Views: 9785

Re: Derby contender thoughts

Was particularly curious about Noble Indy as I am not entirely sure what to do with him. For me Noble Indy is a toss. That shouldn't necessarily mean much because I'm wrong all the time :) But Pletcher is particularly adept at building resumes for horses by getting them in spots that suit them. Nob...