Search found 1128 matches

by tcw
Tue Apr 30, 2019 9:19 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 21362

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Looks like the weather forecast for Saturday has changed for the worse with a very high percentage of rain and a wet track.
by tcw
Sat Apr 27, 2019 1:10 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 21362

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Omaha Beach is at the top of my list followed by Roadster and Game Winner. Game Winner has always shown to be right there at the wire and will keep his rider for the big race. War of Will looked great in his final work and while I still need to look over his pp's, traditionally the Fairgrounds hasn'...
by tcw
Sat Apr 27, 2019 11:42 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 21362

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Omaha Beach and War of Will were the standouts of this morning's works. The question mark, however, surrounding WoW centers around his LA Derby performance.
by tcw
Sat Apr 27, 2019 11:35 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 471
Views: 21362

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Spahny wrote:
Sat Apr 27, 2019 11:20 am
War of Will looked fantastic.
Steve Byk is at CD for the two weeks leading-up to the Derby and made a similar comment about War of Will on ATR... quite the physical specimen.
by tcw
Tue Apr 16, 2019 10:06 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 132
Views: 9149

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

Now that Smith has chosen Omaha Beach, it further solidifies him as my top pick in the Derby. Seeing him alongside Improbable as the two of them entered the stretch in the Arkansas Derby, with Ortiz pushing on Improbable while Smith sat still on Omaha Beach, it was clearly evident that Omaha Beach w...
by tcw
Mon Apr 15, 2019 9:22 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 132
Views: 9149

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

1. Roadster--he's good and getting better. 2. Omaha Beach--fast, improving and a good head. 3. Maximum Security--fast but will need to rate because he won't get that pace this time. 4. Bodexpress--the most improved horse in the race; could shock the world. 5. Owendale--bounced back and looked good ...
by tcw
Sun Apr 14, 2019 1:19 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 132
Views: 9149

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

Omaha Beach Maximum Security Game Winner (Not as brilliant as some others, but always there at the end) Improbable Tacitus/Roadster One unusual aspect of this Derby is that none of the Baffert contingent have been all that quick out of the gate/the first 1/4-mile. I've heard him mention the importan...
by tcw
Sun Apr 14, 2019 10:13 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars
Replies: 46
Views: 3194

Re: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars

A 101 BSF for Omaha Beach. That puts him right up there at the top of the list with Maximum Security.
by tcw
Sat Apr 13, 2019 8:59 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars
Replies: 46
Views: 3194

Re: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars

Omaha Beach reminds me of American Pharoah in more ways than one. I'll go out on a limb and predict that Smith goes with Omaha Beach for the Derby.
by tcw
Wed Apr 10, 2019 12:37 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 132
Views: 9149

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

It would be ironic in a way if the West's win the Derby with Maximum Security rather than the 2yo champ that's received most of the press and who also has the top Derby trainer.
by tcw
Tue Apr 09, 2019 12:59 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Santa Anita Derby
Replies: 35
Views: 2512

Re: Santa Anita Derby

It seems that Baffert's top Derby horses this year, unlike usual, are not all that quick leaving the gate. He knows better than anyone how important it is to get away well in a crowded Derby field, so I'll be surprised if he doesn't focus on this heavily in the coming days/weeks.
by tcw
Mon Apr 08, 2019 2:45 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Santa Anita Derby
Replies: 35
Views: 2512

Re: Santa Anita Derby

Hey, according to this news release ( https://www.kentuckyderby.com/uploads/wysiwyg/assets/uploads/20190407_KDFW_Pool_4_Recap.pdf ), Roadster is the highest-price favorite in the final future pool since... 2004! In retrospect, the fact that we have a six-way battle for favoritism, vs. all others be...
by tcw
Sat Apr 06, 2019 8:57 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Three-Year-Olds
Replies: 420
Views: 31204

Re: 2019 Three-Year-Olds

This should really set up Roadster and Game Winner well for the KD given the deeper, slower surface today at SA. GW was coming back on 3 weeks rest and will now have 4 weeks until the big race, where he should be super fit. We'll see how the Arkansas Derby turns out... if it goes according to form, ...
by tcw
Sat Apr 06, 2019 6:44 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Three-Year-Olds
Replies: 420
Views: 31204

Re: 2019 Three-Year-Olds

Regarding Vekoma's HORRIBLE action... he's by Candy Ride as is Game Winner, who although I've liked since early in his career, his front action isn't the best either. Definitely not as bad as Vekoma's, but it must be a "Candy Ride thing". Candy Ride is one of my all-time favs, and as I recall his (f...
by tcw
Sat Mar 30, 2019 9:56 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: The Florida Derby
Replies: 131
Views: 8057

Re: The Florida Derby


Hidden Scroll is overrated. He has one nice win over a sloppy track. Nothing else.
I think he’s not a 2-turn horse and has learning to do.
Agreed - don't believe he's a two-turn horse.
by tcw
Sat Mar 16, 2019 9:43 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: The Rebel Parts I and II
Replies: 60
Views: 3989

Re: The Rebel Parts I and II

The charts for the two Rebels, including the final times, were nearly identical. The closing fractions were also very good and nearly identical in both races.
by tcw
Sat Mar 16, 2019 7:47 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: The Rebel Parts I and II
Replies: 60
Views: 3989

Re: The Rebel Parts I and II

Game Winner is one "game" horse. I like his pedigree better than Improbable's for the classic distances, but both were coming in off of layoffs and likely needed the race(s), especially Game Winner. I thought I heard a TVG commentator mention something about Baffert possibly training one or both hor...
by tcw
Sat Jan 19, 2019 3:57 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 derby prep races.
Replies: 75
Views: 7761

Re: 2019 derby prep races.

Looks like Game Winner last worked on 1/9 (very fast 3F) and Baffert's horses tend to work weekly. Of course there has been inclement weather recently in SoCal, although SA had a fast track today and no work again. Hopefully all is well and if there is anything, that it's something minor.
by tcw
Sat Dec 08, 2018 6:43 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2018 Two-year-olds
Replies: 242
Views: 39776

Re: 2018 Two-year-olds

"Justify Jr.", aka Improbable, just won the Cash Call Futurity at Los Al very impressively in 1:41 flat. Looks like B2 has two outstanding, early prospects in Game Winner and Improbable for the 2019 TC should they hopefully both stay healthy.
by tcw
Sat Nov 10, 2018 6:56 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Accelerate vs Justify HOTY
Replies: 219
Views: 36085

Re: Accelerate vs Justify HOTY

Imo, HOY is not even a contest this year, and shouldn't be. While I'm glad for Sadler winning the BCC, Accelerate only ran one more race than Justify year to date, and his BSF for the BCC was the 2nd slowest in the history of the race - only BCC Drosselmeyer's figure was lower. What's more, this occ...