Search found 734 matches

by Big Ten
Sun Apr 21, 2019 10:13 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 87
Views: 2836

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

https://www.thoroughbreddailynews.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Tacitus_WEB_SV.jpg Juddmonte and a Wood Memorial winner. Reminds me of 16 years ago. Juddmonte and a gray horse. Reminds me of 3 years ago. This kid doesn't know what the hell he's talking about... Why Tacitus Won't Win The Kentucky D...
by Big Ten
Sun Apr 21, 2019 1:50 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Kentucky Derby
Replies: 21
Views: 606

Re: 2019 Kentucky Derby

Along with Richard Mandella, Bill Mott is one of the trainers I'm rooting for to finally win the Kentucky Derby. His horse could end up being bet down as the 3rd choice. East Coast money will pour in late. He has the best last Brisnet speed figure. Finally, a recent Wood Memorial winner who might ac...
by Big Ten
Sun Apr 21, 2019 1:40 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Roadster
Replies: 62
Views: 4487

Re: Roadster

Game Winner and Improbable both lost all their preps so far. Roadster will be overbet simply because he won the Santa Anita Derby which was nothing special. I already have a Derby list that doesn't include any of these Baffert horses in my Top 3. I'm one of the biggest Baffert fans out there but he ...
by Big Ten
Fri Apr 19, 2019 9:22 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 87
Views: 2836

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

I underestimated the Wood Memorial. I don't see much separation between the Baffert trio. Roadster might end up being the most overbet one. At least Game Winner and Improbable own a win at Churchill. I already have my Derby Top 10 on my notes after glancing 10 minutes from Brisnet's PPs. Actually a ...
by Big Ten
Thu Apr 18, 2019 2:40 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 87
Views: 2836

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

Brisnet's PPs completely changed my perspective. I like this one particular horse from it and I would put him #1 right now over Omaha Beach. But I don't want to say his name. Don't want to hype it. I want his odds to stay in double digits. Pretty obvious if you check Brisnet's PPs which horse I'm al...
by Big Ten
Wed Apr 17, 2019 2:01 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 87
Views: 2836

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

https://www.kentucky.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/sidelines-with-john-clay/article229348614.html 2018 Justify - Mike Smith  2017 Always Dreaming - John Velazquez  2016 Nyquist - Mario Gutierrez  2015 American Pharoah - Victor Espinoza  2014 California Chrome - Victor Espinoza  2013 Orb - Joel Rosari...
by Big Ten
Tue Apr 16, 2019 8:00 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 87
Views: 2836

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

Thank you, Mike Smith, for picking Omaha Beach. Saves me money. Win one for Dick Mandella! It's the right move. Omaha Beach is the now horse and who knows if it rains? I do hope Mike gets his mount on Roadster back this summer. My wager stays put. Don't have to complicate it with a third wheel. I st...
by Big Ten
Tue Apr 16, 2019 12:57 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 87
Views: 2836

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

December 25, 2018 - Improbable became my Derby horse. Now he's become my alternative behind Omaha Beach. When I saw OB at 16-1 on my Bovada account after he won the Rebel #2, I just knew he was such a good value play because I believed he would be the Derby fav or close to it if he ran well in his f...
by Big Ten
Mon Apr 15, 2019 10:30 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 87
Views: 2836

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

Some of Baffert/Roadster fans are making it seem Roadster is the next Justify or Arrogate and that he's going to win the Triple Crown. And none of the comments was from Baffert fanatic Kaye from Pennsylvania. I'm not seeing it. I think Omaha Beach and Roadster are very close in ability. We'll just w...
by Big Ten
Mon Apr 15, 2019 2:52 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 87
Views: 2836

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

The 2019 Kentucky Derby winner could all be decided by a jockey.
by Big Ten
Sun Apr 14, 2019 11:17 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars
Replies: 46
Views: 1456

Re: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars

I think Improbable running as well as he did was a bonus for me because I had a feeling if one of them had flopped or both, they would be automatic tosses. Both ran as well as I wanted them to be but another extra bonus was the slop. Possible emulating the conditions of Derby Day. Now if Mike Smith ...
by Big Ten
Sun Apr 14, 2019 7:28 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Kentucky Derby Top 5
Replies: 87
Views: 2836

Re: Kentucky Derby Top 5

Mike Smith vs a trio of Baffert horses...

1. Omaha Beach
2. Improbable
3. Roadster
4. Game Winner
5. Maximum Security

The gap between all five is very close.

Omaha Beach = Baffert-killer
Beat Game Winner by a nose.
Beat Improbable by a length.
Likely steals Roadsters' jockey.
by Big Ten
Sun Apr 14, 2019 12:52 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars
Replies: 46
Views: 1456

Re: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars

https://mobile.twitter.com/kkykei/status/1117437747822600197 ^ Maximum Security, Omaha Beach, and Improbable are the only Derby contenders this year to reach a 100 Beyer. I knew Improbable's loss looks better than Roadster's Santa Anita Derby win. The Arkansas Derby just looks better visually. I hop...
by Big Ten
Sun Apr 14, 2019 12:19 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars
Replies: 46
Views: 1456

Re: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars

I think Improbable's 2nd place effort is just as good as Roadster and Game Winner going 1-2 in the Santa Anita Derby. Omaha Beach got :47s and 1:12s. I knew he had enough left. He may not get that next month. I don't think Omaha Beach is at the Justify-level where he can survive going :46s. If he wi...
by Big Ten
Sat Apr 13, 2019 8:05 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars
Replies: 46
Views: 1456

Re: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars

Perfect result. Hallelujah! Finally ended my gambling losing streak. I need Mikey to choose Omaha Beach over Roadster. The colt already beat both Game Winner and Improbable. I so badly want to watch Mandella win a Kentucky Derby. The first sub-1:50 9F prep I've seen this year. The final furlong was ...
by Big Ten
Sat Apr 13, 2019 4:48 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars
Replies: 46
Views: 1456

Re: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars

Looks like Omaha Beach's chances to win increases today. That's basically why I decided to put money on him after he won the second Rebel. I expect Derby Day to be wet just like it is in Arkansas today. He broke his maiden in the slop. I just hope OB doesn't get caught and he wins by several lengths...
by Big Ten
Fri Apr 12, 2019 11:56 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars
Replies: 46
Views: 1456

Re: Arkansas Derby G1 Million Dollars

Obviously, I want to see #1 or #3 win. Improbable with the outside and now the rail. I hope he gets better luck with the post position draw if he makes the Kentucky Derby. I don't know Jose Ortiz (age 25) too well, so I hope Mike Smith wins again. Knowing my bad luck, Long Range Toddy catches them a...
by Big Ten
Sun Apr 07, 2019 5:25 pm
Forum: Racing
Topic: Santa Anita Derby
Replies: 35
Views: 1190

Re: Santa Anita Derby

https://mobile.twitter.com/DowneyProfile/status/1114921410265268224 ^ All sub-100 BSFs while Justify ran a 2-second faster SA Derby last year and had earned a 107. Last year, we found an exceptional racehorse. Basically, an outlier. Three years ago before that, same thing. This year is a typical une...
by Big Ten
Sun Apr 07, 2019 11:04 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: 2019 Three-Year-Olds
Replies: 316
Views: 13343

Re: 2019 Three-Year-Olds

The Wood Memorial was dreadful to listen to. It was like hearing a cat scratch a chalkboard.

Try to say Tacitus and Tax really fast and over and over. And their slow time didn't exactly lessen the blow.
by Big Ten
Sun Apr 07, 2019 10:56 am
Forum: Racing
Topic: Santa Anita Derby
Replies: 35
Views: 1190

Re: Santa Anita Derby

Each 9F prep race yesterday finished over 1:50. The Wood and Bluegrass finished over :13+ in their final 1/8th. One of the weakest crops I could remember and I'm not the type to call them crappy annually. This could be one of those years for a longshot coming from off the pace to hit. I wouldn't be ...