Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Turf
I’m disappointed with the class that Europe has sent over. Goldikova is not officially out of this race at the time of writing but all indications are that she will go in the Mile. That leaves Halfway To Heaven as the only legitimate European in my opinion and makes North […]

Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint
The first race of the Breeders’ Cup is almost a microcosm of the theme for the whole meet. This race like so many others has a clear favorite who is seemingly legitimate and seems much better than their rivals on paper. As a general rule I’m not going to be […]

Here is an actual race profile for you to sample.
Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies
#1 - The entrant must have received the average winning Beyer Speed Figure for dirt routes races. This factor is geared towards identifying the fillies who are fast enough to beat the field. Beyer pars from past runnings are not used because the […]

Why do the Profiles work?
Profiling horses for specific races is not always effective and the main reason is because in any given race nearly all of the horses are entered with different goals. Some are coming back from a layoff. Some are at the end of their form cycle. Some are being raised in class, […]

Do the Profiles Work?
The simple answer is yes, they do work. There would not be much point in reading any further if they didn’t. The systems focus is not on eliminating horses that can’t win. The focus is in trying to quantify the relative chances of each entrant. Every Breeders’ Cup starter is screened through […]

Profile of a Winner
A statistical guide to beating the Breeders’ Cup
The Breeders’ Cup is the best day, now weekend, of racing in North America. There is no doubt about it. Championship races with full fields, champions, contenders and pretenders all facing each other with an eye on the crown. For the bettor it offers unparalleled […]

Weekend Overview: Although we had a G-1 race this weekend the horse stealing most of the headlines is one who only ran in allowance company. The still undefeated Casino Drive made his long awaited return to the races at Santa Anita on Sunday. He outclassed some below average allowance horses and is now set to […]

Perryville Stakes
I’m So Lucky looks to me like a horse you could probably go against. The form from the King’s Bishop turned out to be poor and i think he’s looked better on traditional dirt. 7f on this surface will likely favor horse who are stout enough to fully see out the distance. Keeneland is […]

I seem to be suffering from a severe lack of inspiration. It happens sometimes but I do feel a sense of obligation to fill this space with something. Otherwise my mother might not have anything to read over lunch. I’ve searched far and wide for a good topic and have been unable to find one […]

Who is the best horse in the world? That question has been a source of contention ever since the rise of American racing. Is the dominant European horse the best or is it the American horse? In modern times the argument has had to be widened to include Japan, Australia and even Hong Kong.
Rating international […]