This thread isn't even about making picks, so my post was sort of off anyway:-)
No it wasn't really about making picks but it was on the topic of "pre-handicapping" or forecasting a race before all the facts are fully known.
Do you think that there is any value is forming a general opinion about a horse or division away from the context of a specific race? Such as "Practical Joke isn't a two turn horse" or "the 3yo male crop was weak". To me the question of which favorites should be opposed is at least an interesting one and maybe a valuable one.
I have found, if correct, some of these ideas can be guiding principles in a way that can help me form opinions even when numbers may cloud the issue on race day. Of course if your presumption is off your result is likely to be as well.
Do you think the ideal state for handicapping is to be nearly unfamiliar with the specific horses prior to actually looking at the race PP's? I personally feel the opposite but I do see that affection and perhaps a desire to stick to a past "opinion on record" can hurt your ability to make the right call today.
I am not a bettor so I really can't comment on how having such opinions would affect me but I do like to analyze and eventually select horses that I think will win. Because there is no money on the line the only downside is the realization that I'm not as good as I want to be at something I want to excel at which, for me, is pain enough.