peeptoad wrote:I don't think Verrazano has any real shot at the award at all. Palace Malice and Orb would have to both run miserably in the JCGC and the Classic, plus WTC would need to tank in the Classic for him to have any hope and even if that happens Orb still trumps him with the FL Derby-KY Derby double imo.
For once I agree with Watchmaker: the top 3 (Orb, Palace Malice, and WTC) are dead tight (i.e. You could throw a blanket over them). Orb does have a clear lead, I agree, but it's also a slim lead. WTC and PM are virtually tied about as even as you can get right at the moment. The only difference between them is that PM (and Orb) has one more shot prior to the BCC to gain more of an advantage, whereas WTC will need to await the big race at this point.
..will be interesting to see how this plays out.
So Verrazano possibly winning 4 Grade 1 races - two against older horses - and recording the top BSF for his generation - ihaving only two losses - s not as good as Orb winning the Florida Derby/Kentucky Derby double?
You may very well be right.
But I like to support different potential outcomes in racing - because I think that makes the sport more extraordinary and more attractive.
Let a miler win the three year old award if he is deserving. 4 G1s - two against older horses IMHO would make him deserving particularly if neither Orb nor Palace Malice win another race.
The voters went with tradition and supported Animal Kingdom over Caleb's Posse despite his BC Dirt Wile win.
I am actually pulling for Orb and Palace Malice and Verrazano. While I like Will Take Charge, I think opting for the Pennsylvania Derby against a field that had one other G1 winner (on synthetic) who I like but who did not bring his best - and a G2 winner who is a nice horse...but this competition pales in comparison to what Orb and Palace Malice are going to face in the Jockey Club Gold Cup. Maybe this is the perfect recipe to get WTC to the BC Classic for his 10th race of the year fit as a fiddle. Mr. Lukas is not one to doubt, but I don't think the effort helped WTC's three year old campaign. Instead, the effort helped to pay some bills which every barn needs.
I think this is a strong generation of three year olds and look forward to most, if not all, running again next year - though Palace and Verrazano might be retired just because if they win out they have little left to prove.