Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby Treve » Thu Mar 29, 2018 1:12 pm

I was wondering why no one was talking about Mississippi... sneaky good is right I expect him to make a decent account of himself here even if I don't expect him to win.
A filly named Ruffian...

Eine Stute namens Danedream...

Une pouliche se nommant Trêve...

Kincsem nevű kanca...


And a Queen named Beholder
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Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby MySaladDays » Sat Mar 31, 2018 2:04 am

I am not well acquainted with the track bias at Gulfstream, but the only horses I like here are Strike Power, Storm Runner, and Catholic Boy. Exacta box.


I'm going to put in a llittle flyer wageron Tip Sheet to hit the board, HFC and cuz I love Stanley Gold.
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Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby stark » Sat Mar 31, 2018 10:44 am

excerpt stolen directly from Thorograph.....

STRIKE POWER
He actually earned a better figure than the winner
of the Fountain Of Youth, since he spotted him six pounds and raced outside him.
This time it’s level weights and the rail with early speed—if he pairs his last Strike
Power is a likely winner.
And there’s no reason he shouldn’t.

I'm in @ 4/1.
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
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Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby Starine » Sat Mar 31, 2018 6:53 pm

No surprise with Audible, but I really liked how Hofburg moved forward for the runner-up spot given his lack of experience. Both of the top two had a terrific set-up with those opening splits.

Still, Mendelssohn was the most impressive winner of the day. No contest.
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Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby BaroqueAgain1 » Sat Mar 31, 2018 6:53 pm

What were Saez and Albarado thinking? Their speed duel burned out both Strike Power and Promises Fulfilled, costing their colts any chance of winning.
Good win by Audible, who is really quite a strong-looking specimen.
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Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby Tessablue » Sat Mar 31, 2018 6:54 pm

Not a race I want to evaluate too closely after one watch, because the pace was fast but the final time wasn't great, but I can't say anything against Audible and boy is Hofburg a horse with a future. I wonder if Mott sends him to the Derby off this.

Also, great call and sincere thanks to Kennedy and peep for mentioning Mississippi as a horse to use underneath. Edited to say Treve too.

...did Jerry just say that these horses are "still behind Justify?" Um...
Last edited by Tessablue on Sat Mar 31, 2018 7:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby stark » Sat Mar 31, 2018 6:57 pm

Tessablue wrote:Not a race I want to evaluate too closely after one watch, because the pace was fast but the final time wasn't great, but I can't say anything against Audible and boy is Hofburg a horse with a future. I wonder if Mott sends him to the Derby off this.


40 points in the bank
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
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Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby Tessablue » Sat Mar 31, 2018 7:01 pm

stark wrote:
Tessablue wrote:Not a race I want to evaluate too closely after one watch, because the pace was fast but the final time wasn't great, but I can't say anything against Audible and boy is Hofburg a horse with a future. I wonder if Mott sends him to the Derby off this.


40 points in the bank

Sure, but he's Bill Mott and Juddmonte isn't the most Derby-crazy owner out there. It'd be pretty out of character, but so was this decision...
Last edited by Tessablue on Sat Mar 31, 2018 8:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby Treve » Sat Mar 31, 2018 7:04 pm

Hofburg really made a good account of himself here. It was a very unusual move for Mott, but I looked at him closely just based on that. I don't know if Mott will want to send him to the KY Derby or not though but with 40 points the option is on the table. I feel like it would've been a likelier "yes" if he had won. They might aim for the second leg instead... unless he thinks the horse would be ready, but it's definitely not their style to squeeze a horse in they don't think is 100% (both trainer and owner)

Audible closed well into his dream pace... and certainly proved the wisdom that workouts aren't the be all end all for every horse :lol:
A filly named Ruffian...

Eine Stute namens Danedream...

Une pouliche se nommant Trêve...

Kincsem nevű kanca...


And a Queen named Beholder
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Re: Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) - 03/31/18

Postby barbaro111 » Sat Mar 31, 2018 7:08 pm

BaroqueAgain1 wrote:What were Saez and Albarado thinking? Their speed duel burned out both Strike Power and Promises Fulfilled, costing their colts any chance of winning.
Good win by Audible, who is really quite a strong-looking specimen.


Good question: what were they thinking? not very smart
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