Justify

Re: Justify

Postby Horsebagger » Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:27 pm

I'll give Mike the benefit of the doubt and say he's likely been atop Easy Goer for a work or 2 or 3. He was riding a lot for Shug back then in NY, and given Pat Day was in KY or the Midwest, generally most of that time, I'd say its better than even odds he was a regular workout rider for him.

But the surface probably played to his advantage today, because I see wet track affinity in his pedigree. Don't get me wrong, he's going to be a beast when he gets more experience and is likely the best of this crop already, but I'd liken him to Curlin above anyone else. Easy Goer was a 2yo eclipse winner, and is in the HOF for a reason. He's gotta do more than a gift wrapped nw1x allowance win before we start raining future Hall of Famer accolades on him. Regardless, getting 10 furlongs in less than two months in a 20 horse field is no walk in the park, especially with no 2-yo racing foundation to build upon. One more 9 furlong race and then go another 1/8 further while likely having to endure the most pace pressure he's experienced to date? He's not getting my money that day, if he even makes it there.

I can probably see myself on Travers Day with both hands unloading, though.
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Re: Justify

Postby BaroqueAgain1 » Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:15 am

I don't think I've heard Baffert say much about this colt. I do have the feeling that this colt is going to brought along as slowly as he needs. While I'm sure the the owners (so many that I wish they'd just get their horse corporation a single name, or maybe a bunch of initials like a law firm?)...anyway, sure the connections (reallyreally) want a Derby win, but IMHO this colt has "Top Future Stallion Prospect" stamped all over him. So...great care taken with him.
Pedigree: Out of a Ghostzapper mare with a fine female family, he's by the late Scat Daddy. And I might add 'late, great,' as he has produced more good runners than I can name.
Physical: He has the conformation and the ability to run fast. Also, per Mike, he has a great mind, so check off Mental.
Now, he needs a Race Resume. IMO, they won't push him too hard just to make the Derby. There are lots of big stakes races this year that look good on a resume.
Last edited by BaroqueAgain1 on Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Justify

Postby Izvestia » Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:22 am

If Bolt was trained by Baffert he’d have more love. Justify looks super talented, but until he races in a big race, I’m waiting on the comparisons.
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Re: Justify

Postby BaroqueAgain1 » Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:33 am

I am not saying this colt is the second coming of (horse name). It's true we won't know if he's a stakes horse or just the easy winner of two easy races until he actually steps up and wins a stake.
I am feeling anticipation. Excited anticipation.
And Baffert-trained is not my bias. Being by Scat Daddy is. ;) :P
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Re: Justify

Postby stark » Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:41 am

101 BSF
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
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Re: Justify

Postby Retrospectiv » Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:39 pm

Starine wrote:He sure looks promising but the Easy Goer comparison seems... odd and kind of random.



Rather laughable really.

Easy Goer was a Champion 2 yr old.
Opened his 3 yr old season by winning the Swale stakes in 1:22 1/5, which was the fastest 7 furlongs of the meet.
Turned around and won the Gotham in 1:32 2/5, fastest mile ever run by a 3yr old in NY racing history, setting a stakes and track record.

We'll see if he can Justify the comparison.....
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Re: Justify

Postby Ballerina » Mon Mar 12, 2018 5:53 pm

I don't think anyone is comparing this horse against any other horse's race record - it's more on appearance and what they feel the horse may become.
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Re: Justify

Postby Horsebagger » Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:13 pm

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Re: Justify

Postby Retrospectiv » Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:40 pm

Horsebagger wrote:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9nDcxefXY04



And Day sat like a statue.....

He got a lot of credit for his ability over a mile and a half, but not NEAR enough credit, IMO, for his actual speed.

A horse who could run 7 furlongs, or a mile like he could was no distance plodder....


This is one of my favorite performances. Day had him locked up and in a mess the whole race. Barges through at the top of the stretch and just powers away. He ran that last furlong in 11 seconds. Watch that gallop out at 2:10......

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l-r65wOLa0Q
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Re: Justify

Postby Izvestia » Tue Mar 13, 2018 1:42 am

Sorry Justify fans... he’s not Easy Goer. He was awesome.
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