Justify

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Ballerina
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Fri May 18, 2018 6:25 am

Overanalyzing anything can wind up with mind phucking yourself. There comes a time when you just have to make a decision and usually your first thought/instinct winds up being the best.
stark
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Fri May 18, 2018 10:09 am

I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
stark
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Fri May 18, 2018 10:11 am

Jay Privman
‏@DRFPrivman

After training this morning, Lukas sat in a chair at his end of the stakes barn and watched the runners pass by. Upon seeing Justify, he remarked, "This is King Kong. He's different."
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
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Big Ten
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Fri May 18, 2018 12:43 pm

I think among all of Baffert's horses he has trained, Justify is not only my favorite horse he's had, but my favorite in terms of his looks. American Pharoah and Arrogate never really did for me when it comes to attractiveness.

I actually had Barbaro as my favorite Derby winner ever surpassing my beloved Silver Charm for me. But it hurts to watch his Preakness and seeing him breakdown. Cross fingers something like that doesn't happen tomorrow for everyone.

Then for awhile, it was California Chrome and American Pharoah but I wasn't living in the country when they won it. I never made money on them. I prefer CC over AP just because he was the one who rejuvenated my love for the sport again and he's cuter.

So Justify it is. Our new flavor of the year and perhaps my personal favorite for this decade. I consider Zenyatta more 2000's even though she ran in 2010. I think the Preakness and Belmont are just trap races for gambling degenerates though.

My plan is to catch the NBC telecast tomorrow. Check on it for 15 minutes. Then go to LosAl for Belmont if a Triple Crown is on the line. No betting for either one. Just going to eat a hot dog while watching the Belmont. Then I'll bounce real quick.

Justify is becoming like Spectacular Bid where he becomes an odds-on favorite for most of his career. Potentially a great horse but a bad bet for the rest of his career. I'm cool with it. I already made my money on the race he needed to win two weeks ago.

Good luck tomorrow, buddy.
Rock Hard Ten. Free House. Soul Of The Matter. Lit de Justice. Zenyatta. Justify. Cigar. Ghostzapper. Lava Man. Silver Charm.
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Ballerina
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Fri May 18, 2018 2:02 pm

I'm still holding your beer, Justify. Probably will still be holding it for the Belmont.
barbaro111
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Fri May 18, 2018 5:18 pm

Big Ten wrote:I think among all of Baffert's horses he has trained, Justify is not only my favorite horse he's had, but my favorite in terms of his looks. American Pharoah and Arrogate never really did for me when it comes to attractiveness.

I actually had Barbaro as my favorite Derby winner ever surpassing my beloved Silver Charm for me. But it hurts to watch his Preakness and seeing him breakdown. Cross fingers something like that doesn't happen tomorrow for everyone.

Then for awhile, it was California Chrome and American Pharoah but I wasn't living in the country when they won it. I never made money on them. I prefer CC over AP just because he was the one who rejuvenated my love for the sport again and he's cuter.

So Justify it is. Our new flavor of the year and perhaps my personal favorite for this decade. I consider Zenyatta more 2000's even though she ran in 2010. I think the Preakness and Belmont are just trap races for gambling degenerates though.

My plan is to catch the NBC telecast tomorrow. Check on it for 15 minutes. Then go to LosAl for Belmont if a Triple Crown is on the line. No betting for either one. Just going to eat a hot dog while watching the Belmont. Then I'll bounce real quick.

Justify is becoming like Spectacular Bid where he becomes an odds-on favorite for most of his career. Potentially a great horse but a bad bet for the rest of his career. I'm cool with it. I already made my money on the race he needed to win two weeks ago.

Good luck tomorrow, buddy.

I love American Pharoah ---he is a great horse in a plain brown wrapper
Justify is a spectacular hunk of a horse--- he is stunning
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Big Ten
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Fri May 18, 2018 7:32 pm

http://www.tmz.com/2018/05/18/bob-baffe ... o-pharoah/
We got Baffert at LAX earlier this week, and he told our camera guy the Triple Crown winner isn't in Justify's company at all, because Baffert -- who trained both horses -- thinks Justify is better. 

"He's a superior horse," Bob says. "And he's come really quick. He's done it a little bit quicker than Pharoah."


I'm not sure about that, but then again, I never trained American Pharoah and Justify like Bob has. He certainly seems to be a prisoner of the moment like after he won Dubai with Arrogate or maybe he just enjoys Justify more.

I don't know if Justify wins the Triple Crown. I'm only 25% confident with that or Baffert's 1 for 4 record. I'm not sure if he can slow down enough to keep going 12F with a fresh horse like Bolt d'Oro there. I'm only 90% he wins the Preakness. I was 95% he would win the Kentucky Derby knowing it's the easier race to hit nowadays and how the Preakness is such a fast turnaround and that bruised heel of his.

All I know is, I like Justify more than American Pharoah. I like his looks, physique, easier name to say, and he made me money. That's all I care about. If he will never be as good as AP, as fast as Arrogate, or never wins again, I don't care. I like what I like and I prefer Justify over AP and Arrogate. Beautiful horse. The most beautiful Baffert has ever had that I ever laid my eyes on.

I really wouldn't be heartbroken if Justify loses tomorrow or in the Belmont. The silver lining with it is a potential 4YO campaign. If he wins the TC, it means he might have only 2 or 3 races left in his career. And I definitely would love to see Justify racing as a 4YO. I want to see more of this gorgeous hunk next year at Santa Anita.

Image
Rock Hard Ten. Free House. Soul Of The Matter. Lit de Justice. Zenyatta. Justify. Cigar. Ghostzapper. Lava Man. Silver Charm.
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Ballerina
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Fri May 18, 2018 7:49 pm

Justify wins tomorrow and he wins the Belmont. The knowing gut says so. :-)
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Squeaky
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Fri May 18, 2018 7:52 pm

I think so too!
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Kurenai
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Fri May 18, 2018 7:55 pm

You can hold his beer Ballerina, I hold the mic I can drop for him once he crosses the finish line tomorrow. :lol:

Not too sure about the Belmont though to be honest, while I can't think of any horse in particular that is able to beat him quality wise, I still don't know how he will do if he has to run longer and I also fear that with the frequent races now he might lose his head a bit and then get cooked in a speed duel in the Belmont (sort of what happened to Smarty Jones). On the other hand.... American Pharoah did just fine winning it wire to wire. Anyway, let's get over the Preakness hurdle first. :lol:
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Squeaky
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Fri May 18, 2018 7:56 pm

Impressed with Bob’s Spanish. I wonder how many trainers who are non- native speaking also speak Spanish?
katmandu
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Fri May 18, 2018 7:59 pm

Big Ten wrote:http://www.tmz.com/2018/05/18/bob-baffe ... o-pharoah/
We got Baffert at LAX earlier this week, and he told our camera guy the Triple Crown winner isn't in Justify's company at all, because Baffert -- who trained both horses -- thinks Justify is better. 

"He's a superior horse," Bob says. "And he's come really quick. He's done it a little bit quicker than Pharoah."
Gads, consider the source. BB did NOT say Justify was a better horse than AP, the "he's a superior horse" is what he's said all along about the horse and is not relative to AP, but to racehorses in general. And yeah, he's done it "quicker" than AP, because, ummm, he didn't start at 2. But it's not in the context that he did it quicker than AP because he's a better horse.

And to think some people suck this stuff up with a straw.
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Starine
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Fri May 18, 2018 8:00 pm

Ballerina wrote:Justify wins tomorrow and he wins the Belmont. The knowing gut says so. :-)
From your mouth to God's ears. ;)
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Treve
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Fri May 18, 2018 8:39 pm

Kurenai wrote:You can hold his beer Ballerina, I hold the mic I can drop for him once he crosses the finish line tomorrow. :lol:

Not too sure about the Belmont though to be honest, while I can't think of any horse in particular that is able to beat him quality wise, I still don't know how he will do if he has to run longer and I also fear that with the frequent races now he might lose his head a bit and then get cooked in a speed duel in the Belmont (sort of what happened to Smarty Jones). On the other hand.... American Pharoah did just fine winning it wire to wire. Anyway, let's get over the Preakness hurdle first. :lol:
Every TC winner has done so winning their Belmont wire to wire, as an interesting bit of history/trends.
A filly named Ruffian...

Eine Stute namens Danedream...

Une pouliche se nommant Trêve...

Kincsem nevű kanca...


And a Queen named Beholder
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Ballerina
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Fri May 18, 2018 8:54 pm

Starine wrote:
Ballerina wrote:Justify wins tomorrow and he wins the Belmont. The knowing gut says so. :-)
From your mouth to God's ears. ;)
More like the other way around. might not be God; however. Possibly Scat Daddy
stark
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Fri May 18, 2018 9:40 pm

Squeaky wrote:Impressed with Bob’s Spanish. I wonder how many trainers who are non- native speaking also speak Spanish?
Probably similar to the restaurant business, the backstretch requires it from management.
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
MySaladDays
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Sat May 19, 2018 1:06 am

Squeaky wrote:Impressed with Bob’s Spanish. I wonder how many trainers who are non- native speaking also speak Spanish?


Most know quite a bit of spanish, esp. if they were in the QH world for a while, or they also come from both breeding and training backgrounds. There's a lot of personnel on farms, and on the backside, and you hve to be able to talk to them. Baffert has a huge number of Mexican and Latin American workers ....

Cash Asmussen speaks FLUENT Spanish and French, as well as English. Michelle Nihei speaks fluent spanish, many others I have heard .... I bet most do.
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Flanders
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Sat May 19, 2018 6:12 am

What he actually said was "He's a superior horse, just like American Pharoah." Meaning he is a superior to other horses, not AP.
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ThreeMustangs
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Sat May 19, 2018 9:06 pm

I''m just going to enjoy this win and not worry about the Belmont right now. That was a brave race by a heckuva horse who has done something unprecedented.
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ThreeMustangs
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Sat May 19, 2018 9:06 pm

I''m just going to enjoy this win and not worry about the Belmont right now. That was a brave race by a heckuva horse who has done something unprecedented.
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