Breeders' Cup Favorites

Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby Kennedy » Tue Oct 10, 2017 1:34 pm

Who are they?

And which ones are locks?

Here are my predicted favorites at this point
Classic - Arrogate
Turf - Ulysees
Mile - World Approval
Sprint - Drefong
Dirt Mile - Mor Spirit
Turf Sprint - Lady Aurelia?
Distaff - Stellar Wind
FM Turf - Lady Eli
FM Sprint - Unique Bella
Juvenile - Bolt D'Oro
Juvenile Turf - Whoever Aiden O'Brien sends
Juvenile Fillies - Moonshine Memories
Juvenile Fillies Turf - Significant Form
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Re: Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby Kennedy » Tue Oct 10, 2017 4:14 pm

Classic - Arrogate
I am likely going to stick with the champ. I think he gets it done.

Turf - Ulysees
I think the race is likely more wide open and the favorite should be strongly considered but so should many others

Mile - World Approval
I think he's an extremely solid favorite

Sprint - Drefong
I will likely stick with him but he's no lock

Dirt Mile - Mor Spirit
Favorites are 2 for 10 with a lot of out of the money finishes. Mor Spirit is the best horse but I feel like the layoff makes him pretty vulnerable because I don't think he is likely to run his best race.

Turf Sprint - Lady Aurelia
If she is favored I think I would be against her. The older sprinters are pretty good this year. Her reputation is huge but this won't be an easy group to beat

Distaff - Stellar Wind
Her worst races have come in all the big events and there are tons of quality options to choose from

FM Turf - Lady Eli
I think she puts her unlucky loss last year to bed.

FM Sprint - Unique Bella
3yo's who start at less than 10/1 in this race are a combined 15-0-2-1 with an astonishing 6 favorites among them. Older Fillies when favored are 4-3-1-0 but 3yo's have really taken a beating. For me that makes me nervous of Bella even though she is a special talent. The older mares aren't too shabby in here. I think I may shade against her.

Juvenile - Bolt D'Oro
This horse deserves to be favored and will take a ton of beating. Young horses are rarely indestructible but I see no reason to doubt this guy.

Juvenile Turf - Whoever Aiden O'Brien sends
This race is completely up in the air.

Juvenile Fillies - Moonshine Memories
I don't think she's good enough to scare people. She doesn't really scare me.

Juvenile Fillies Turf - Significant Form
Looked decent but failed to really separate herself from any of the others. Wide open.
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Re: Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby Starine » Tue Oct 10, 2017 7:29 pm

O'Brien says he may bring over Roly Poly for the F/M Turf. Do you think she would go favored if she starts?
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Re: Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby Senator L » Tue Oct 10, 2017 7:58 pm

Classic - fav Arrogate or Gun Runner I think it will be pretty close 6/5 9/5 type of deal
Turf - fav Highland Reel everyone knows about him loving firm ground
Mile - World Approval top of the division right now seems like a lock
Sprint - Drefong and Roy H - California boys
Dirt Mile - Mor Spirit or Practical Joke
Turf Sprint - Lady Aurelia? I think Disco Partner goes favored. Hard to overlook his track records
Distaff - Stellar Wind favored but her record for a 1 1/8 races isn't good
FM Turf - Lady Eli for sure but personally have soft spot for Avenge especially at a 1 1/8
FM Sprint - Finely'sluckycharm wire job
Juvenile - Bolt D'Oro
Juvenile Turf -
Juvenile Fillies - Moonshine Memories
Juvenile Fillies
No one has ever bet enough on a winning horse.
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Re: Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby barbaro111 » Tue Oct 10, 2017 9:25 pm

Starine wrote:O'Brien says he may bring over Roly Poly for the F/M Turf. Do you think she would go favored if she starts?


I admit to loving her name--I mean who couldn't love the name Rory Poly--and she is talented to boot
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Re: Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby barbaro111 » Tue Oct 10, 2017 9:26 pm

barbaro111 wrote:
Starine wrote:O'Brien says he may bring over Roly Poly for the F/M Turf. Do you think she would go favored if she starts?


I admit to loving her name--I mean who couldn't love the name Rory Poly--and she is talented to boot

Of course my tablet mispelled her name
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Re: Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby Diver52 » Wed Oct 11, 2017 12:37 am

Those little segmented bugs we used to call pill bugs (because they roll up into a ball when you touch them) are sometimes called " rolly pollies." We also called them sow bugs. :(
I ran marathons. I saw the Taj Mahal by Moonlight. I drove Highway 1 in a convertible. I petted Zenyatta.
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Re: Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby BaroqueAgain1 » Wed Oct 11, 2017 3:04 pm

The Turf Sprint was already looking to be a tremendous race with Lady Aurelia, Bataash and Disco Partner, but it just got even better. :o
https://www.paulickreport.com/news/bree ... rf-sprint/

Marsha defeated Lady A by a head and Bataash has beaten Marsha, so this could be a helluva showdown. Wonder if NY's grey pocket rocket will surprise them all? :P :mrgreen:
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Re: Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby Tessablue » Wed Oct 11, 2017 6:03 pm

The Turf Sprint is going to be awesome, although I'm a little bummed out that Green Mask was retired because he was so good this year and would have been very competitive. Wouldn't be at all shocked if Gun Runner is a clear favorite, Unique Bella and Bolt d'Oro will be odds-on for sure and Drefong will be very short as well.

Personally, the only favorite I love at the moment is Bolt d'Oro. Can't wait to bet on Imperial Hint and I'm honestly really considering Gunnevera as a big longshot in the Classic.
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Re: Breeders' Cup Favorites

Postby Starine » Wed Oct 11, 2017 8:34 pm

I would be surprised if Gun Runner went favored, and speechless if he went off a clear favorite. I just can't see it happening unless Arrogate doesn't start (knock on wood).
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