Arkansas Derby

Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby OaklawnCapper » Wed Apr 12, 2017 1:46 pm

The field is set for the Arkansas Derby!

1 Rockin Rudy Mario Gutierrez
2 Classic Empire Julian Leparoux
3 Silver Dust Corey Lanerie
4 Petrov Ricardo Santana Jr.
5 Grandpa' Dream Alex Canchari
6 Lookin At Lee Luis Contreras
7 Sonneteer Kent Desormeaux
8 Rowdy The Warrior Luis Quinonez
9 Untrapped Mike Smith
10 One Dreamy Dude Geovanni Franco
11 Conquest Mo Money Jorge Carreno
12 Malagacy Javer Castellano
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Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby Premier Pegasus » Wed Apr 12, 2017 4:23 pm

Sonneteer and Petrov to make noise in the exotics.
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Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby Treve » Wed Apr 12, 2017 6:23 pm

Classic Empire was made the 8/5 favourite and Malagacy's ML odds are set at 2-1.
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/ ... nsas-derby

Odds are:

1. Rockin Rudy 12/1
2. Classic Empire 8/5
3. Silver Dust 20/1
4. Petrov 12/1
5. Grandpa's Dream 30/1
6. Lookin At Lee 15/1
7. Sonneteer 15/1
8. Rowdy the Warrior 30/1
9. Untrapped 6/1
10. One Dreamy Dude 50/1
11. Conquest Mo Money 15/1
12. Malagacy (KY) 2/1

Anyone have post position stats for Oaklawn/the Ark Derby?
A filly named Ruffian...

Eine Stute namens Danedream...

Une pouliche se nommant Trêve...

Kincsem nevű kanca...


And a Queen named Beholder
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Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby Izvestia » Wed Apr 12, 2017 8:56 pm

Untrapped
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Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby Premier Pegasus » Thu Apr 13, 2017 7:50 am

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Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby peeptoad » Thu Apr 13, 2017 8:21 am

I like Conquest Mo Money in the Derby and Domain's Rap in the Handicap.... on a fast track anyway.
With 2 routes at 9F and another at 14 I would think the fig should come back pretty square.
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Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby Treve » Thu Apr 13, 2017 11:28 am

Though on the surface it seems like Classic Empire and Malagacy don't have great draws, a closer look at the horses around them can paint a different picture.
CE has a speedball to his inside on the rail, and since he likes pressing the pace me thinks he'll be flanking Rockin Rudy as they fly out of the gates. The first horse to his outside, Silver Dust is a closer, and Petrov is a stalker, though he can be closer to the pace. The chances of him getting boxed are slim unless he trips and stumbles out of the gate. Number 5, Grandpa's Dream is also a pace setter or presser but I think there's enough distance between them to be fine. The next three (6, Lookin At Lee, 7 Sonneteer, 8 Rowdy the Warrior) are closers.
Malagacy gets the short end of the stick since he wants to be up front but he drew wide and directly to his inside it's another speed horse. #10 and Untrapped are not necessarily quite as forwardly placed but chances are Malagacy will get floated wide.

Lookin At Lee, Sonneteer and Untrapped I think have good draws to make some noise with in the exotics depending on how the race unfolds.
A filly named Ruffian...

Eine Stute namens Danedream...

Une pouliche se nommant Trêve...

Kincsem nevű kanca...


And a Queen named Beholder
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Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby Treve » Thu Apr 13, 2017 12:03 pm

So far they're predicting isolated Thunderstorms on Saturday with a 30% chance of rain so far with the peak risk between 11 am and 2 pm.
Weather looks to be around 80°F/27°C.
A filly named Ruffian...

Eine Stute namens Danedream...

Une pouliche se nommant Trêve...

Kincsem nevű kanca...


And a Queen named Beholder
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Treve
 
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Joined: Fri May 08, 2015 5:12 pm

Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby bare it all » Thu Apr 13, 2017 12:20 pm

I very much want to believe in Untrapped as a legit horse. Come on, buddy.
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Re: Arkansas Derby

Postby Kay16 » Thu Apr 13, 2017 2:20 pm

If he's fit and ready...Classic Empire.
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