The Rebel

The Rebel

Postby stark » Wed Mar 15, 2017 2:41 pm

Mile and 1/16th $900,000

1 Silver Bullion (KY) 3/C L R A Vazquez 115 D W Lukas
2 Uncontested (KY) 3/C L C Hill 122 W M Catalano
3 Sonneteer (KY) 3/C L R E Eramia 115 J K Desormeaux
4 Petrov (KY) 3/C L J L Ortiz 115 R Moquett
5 Untrapped (KY) 3/C L I Ortiz, Jr. 115 S M Asmussen
6 Malagacy (KY) 3/C L J Castellano 115 T A Pletcher
7 American Anthem (KY) 3/C L M E Smith 115 B Baffert
8 Silver Dust (KY) 3/C L C J Lanerie 115 R L Morse
9 Appalachian Gem (KY) 3/C L G L Stevens 115 J C Van Berg
10 Royal Mo (KY) 3/C L V Espinoza 122 J A Shirreffs
11 Lookin At Lee (KY) 3/C L R Santana, Jr. 117 S M Asmussen
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
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Re: The Rebel

Postby BaroqueAgain1 » Wed Mar 15, 2017 2:44 pm

American Anthem gets a seven-pound weight break from Royal Mo and Uncontested, which makes him an even more attractive Baffert runner. ;)
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Re: The Rebel

Postby Sparrow Castle » Wed Mar 15, 2017 8:30 pm

:lol: Got a kick out of this description. Go Appalachian Gem!
9. Appalachian Gem
Jockey: Gary Stevens
Trainer: Jack Van Berg
Owner: Mark DeDomenico
Career record: 3 starts - 1 win - 0 seconds - 1 third
Career earnings: $54,000
Earnings per start: $18,000
Pedigree: Gemologist – Briar Hill Dixie, by Dixieland Band
Color: Chestnut
Running style: Stalker/closer

Notable achievements and interesting facts: Appalachian Gem broke his maiden in his third try and here tries stakes company for the first time. Hall of Fame jockey Gary Stevens has just returned from hip replacement surgery at the age of 54, while Hall of Fame trainer Jack Van Berg is 80 and is looking for his first graded stakes win since 1995. Appalachian Gem was a $90,000 purchase as a 2-year-old in training.
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Re: The Rebel

Postby Somnambulist » Wed Mar 15, 2017 8:51 pm

I spent about 45 minutes convinced that there was another Uncontested that raced not that long ago and was shocked that someone was able to get that name not that long after. But it was actually Contested I was thinking of.. ugh.
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Re: The Rebel

Postby Izvestia » Wed Mar 15, 2017 9:58 pm

Royal Mo is a big, strapping colt, and I think he still has some upside. I'm also looking at Petrov and Uncontested.
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Re: The Rebel

Postby Dusty » Wed Mar 15, 2017 10:09 pm

For some reason my brain is telling me to use Lookin at Lee in whatever bets I make! Just saying
May they run with the WIND
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Re: The Rebel

Postby stark » Wed Mar 15, 2017 10:30 pm

The trend is your friend.....

03/19/2016 Cupid................ Bob Baffert Martin Garcia 104
03/14/2015 American Pharoah Bob Baffert Victor Espinoza 107
03/15/2014 Hoppertunity..... Bob Baffert Mike E. Smith 102
03/16/2013 Will Take Charge D. Wayne Lukas Jon Kenton Court PAID $58
03/17/2012 Secret Circle..... Bob Baffert Rafael Bejarano 103
03/19/2011 The Factor......... Bob Baffert Martin Garcia 119
03/13/2010 Lookin At Lucky.....Bob. Baffert Garrett K. Gomez 110

Looks to me like it's DWayne's turn again after losing the last three and SILVER BUILLION could pay $58!
I've found it easier to tear up tickets at 8/1 instead of 8/5.
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Re: The Rebel

Postby MySaladDays » Thu Mar 16, 2017 12:23 pm

The Rebel is usually won by Baffert, as has been pointed out.

Keep in mind that this race is often used as a prep for the Arkansas Derby, so it is not always predictive of anything.

You get horses like Cupid, The Factor, Secret Circle. Other times you get a Curlin, American Pharoah, etc.

Horses who run ITM in this race often go on to become any sort, sometimes even sprinters and/or but accomplish stuff later on like Whitmore, Hoppertunity

I tend to like horses who run 2nd 3rd or 4th in this, ala Creator.

For this race my sentimental hopes are on Royal Mo and Petrov. I have liked Petrov since I first saw him run, nice stalk n' rally style.

Haven't formally "capped" the race yet. maybe friday night
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Re: The Rebel

Postby peeptoad » Thu Mar 16, 2017 1:29 pm

I haven;t formally looked at this one yet either, but I hope they let Petrov drop further off the pace this time around. I understand why he was closer last time, but I think he'll produce a better closing run if he's allowed to drop midpack early.
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Re: The Rebel

Postby MySaladDays » Thu Mar 16, 2017 1:35 pm

After seeing Royal Mo, not worried much about the 7lb impost. ;)

Petrov has been on my top 10 Derby list since January.

I've had to make a lot of arguments on his behalf, to people who had never heard of him before the Smarty Jones. I saw him working at OP back then and I just got a "hunch" about him. Didn't win the Smarty Jones, or the Southwest, maybe 3rd time is a charm.

I really only need him to run ITM though, like Creator.

I'm glad somebody else likes him and Ortiz seems like a pretty good rider, although not as intimate with OP as some others.

Malagacy doesn't interest me at all, even if he does well, seems like a miler type.

Of note, dunno if I posted this yet, but Mr. sherriffs is HERE for the race. That is a good sign IMHO
Last edited by MySaladDays on Thu Mar 16, 2017 1:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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