Tepin

Kennedy
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Mon Sep 19, 2016 1:31 pm

I see the reasons to be possibly skeptical about her in the BC given the very short price she is likely to be but I also think that she had every reason to be less than 100% here. Not many horses are at their sharpest when coming back from a big overseas trip. Whether it be because they cannot recover or because their connections are nervous about it and don't really train them hard, preferring to let them have a race. This was a great time to go against Tepin and no one could capitalize.

I would expect her to be better in the Mile and she has plenty of time now to recover. Personally I'm not skeptical of her in the Mile I'm fearful because she's the horse to beat at a short price and she'll take some beating.
BaroqueAgain1
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Sat Oct 08, 2016 5:16 pm

Tepin had her win streak broken in the First Lady as Photo Call went to the front and opened up what turned out to be an insurmountable lead, especially with Keeneland's short stretch. Kent D. managed a high-class jewel theft right under everyone's noses. :o
arkle
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Sat Oct 08, 2016 5:17 pm

BaroqueAgain1 wrote:Tepin had her win streak broken in the First Lady as Photo Call went to the front and opened up what turned out to be an insurmountable lead, especially with Keeneland's short stretch. Kent D. managed a high-class jewel theft right under everyone's noses. :o
Laperoux should lose the ride on her for that bit of idiocy.
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Treve
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Sat Oct 08, 2016 5:20 pm

BaroqueAgain1 wrote:Tepin had her win streak broken in the First Lady as Photo Call went to the front and opened up what turned out to be an insurmountable lead, especially with Keeneland's short stretch. Kent D. managed a high-class jewel theft right under everyone's noses. :o
:O I'll have to watch the replay.
A filly named Ruffian...

Eine Stute namens Danedream...

Une pouliche se nommant Trêve...

Kincsem nevű kanca...


And a Queen named Beholder
Matt Converse
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Sat Oct 08, 2016 5:32 pm

Newbies at the track for the first time with their "expert" friends:
"I thought you kept saying don't even worry about that horse?"
sweettalk
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Joined: Sat Sep 14, 2013 5:05 pm

Sat Oct 08, 2016 5:35 pm

she wasn't going particularly fast, i was very surprised no one went with her and equally not surprised she pulled it off.

i don't think tepin was 100% last out and i wonder if her ride/pace/weird race play-out beat her today, or? she was much the best in 2nd, though. maybe her odds in the BC will drift up a little.
Somnambulist
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Sat Oct 08, 2016 8:29 pm

I doubt this effects her odds at all. Unless she's showing a downward figure progression.
"Life's no piece of cake, mind you, but the recipe's my own to fool with."
Tessablue
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Sat Oct 08, 2016 9:41 pm

Somnambulist wrote:I doubt this effects her odds at all. Unless she's showing a downward figure progression.
In a normal race probably not, but I think the general betting public gets pretty weird about winning streaks and/or last-out wins. I'd suspect that a lot of people just look at the race line and think "oh, she lost last time, she must be getting worse." Same goes for Flintshire.

Of course this could just be wishful thinking, I'm having dreams of getting Flintshire at even money or higher...
sweettalk
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Sat Oct 08, 2016 9:44 pm

Tessablue wrote:
Somnambulist wrote:I doubt this effects her odds at all. Unless she's showing a downward figure progression.
In a normal race probably not, but I think the general betting public gets pretty weird about winning streaks and/or last-out wins. I'd suspect that a lot of people just look at the race line and think "oh, she lost last time, she must be getting worse." Same goes for Flintshire.

Of course this could just be wishful thinking, I'm having dreams of getting Flintshire at even money or higher...
i'd love to see them both at slightly higher odds than normal (for them), and i don't even bet. but it'd be fun for those here that do.
Somnambulist
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Sat Oct 08, 2016 9:47 pm

Tessablue wrote:
Somnambulist wrote:I doubt this effects her odds at all. Unless she's showing a downward figure progression.
In a normal race probably not, but I think the general betting public gets pretty weird about winning streaks and/or last-out wins. I'd suspect that a lot of people just look at the race line and think "oh, she lost last time, she must be getting worse." Same goes for Flintshire.

Of course this could just be wishful thinking, I'm having dreams of getting Flintshire at even money or higher...

If by higher odds you mean 2-1 as opposed to 4/5 then yes, I think you'll get those. Moreso with Flintshire than Tepin.
"Life's no piece of cake, mind you, but the recipe's my own to fool with."
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Sparrow Castle
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Sun Nov 06, 2016 12:17 am

Scott Hazelton ‏@ScottTVG
Robert Masterson confirms to me Tepin will run next year. @tvg
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Treve
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Sun Nov 06, 2016 12:32 am

Sparrow Castle wrote:Scott Hazelton ‏@ScottTVG
Robert Masterson confirms to me Tepin will run next year. @tvg
Wonderful news!
A filly named Ruffian...

Eine Stute namens Danedream...

Une pouliche se nommant Trêve...

Kincsem nevű kanca...


And a Queen named Beholder
Tessablue
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Sun Nov 06, 2016 12:33 am

Sparrow Castle wrote:Scott Hazelton ‏@ScottTVG
Robert Masterson confirms to me Tepin will run next year. @tvg
YEAH
peeptoad
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Mon Nov 07, 2016 11:53 am

David Grening
‏@DRFGrening
Owner Robert Masterson said he's "seriously thinking" about sending Tepin to Hong Kong for the mile race in December. She also runs in 2017.
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Northport
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Mon Nov 07, 2016 2:45 pm

Yay! So exciting!!
weeeeeeeee
shenanigans
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Mon Nov 07, 2016 3:15 pm

Sparrow Castle wrote:Scott Hazelton ‏@ScottTVG
Robert Masterson confirms to me Tepin will run next year. @tvg
This makes me SOOO happy!!
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Starine
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Mon Nov 07, 2016 11:18 pm

Beholder is a great mare, but I think what Tepin accomplished this season was truly extraordinary. I'm sorry she will lose the Champion Older Mare title to the former.
Tessablue
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Mon Nov 07, 2016 11:24 pm

Starine wrote:Beholder is a great mare, but I think what Tepin accomplished this season was truly extraordinary. I'm sorry she will lose the Champion Older Mare title to the former.
I think it's specifically Older Dirt Mare now, so no worries! I am sad she missed out on HOTY, though. She's absolutely wonderful.
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Starine
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Sat Nov 12, 2016 11:05 pm

She will bypass the Hong Kong Mile with an eye towards next year's Dubai Turf (formerly Dubai Duty Free).
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Dusty
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Sun Nov 13, 2016 2:50 am

Starine wrote:She will bypass the Hong Kong Mile with an eye towards next year's Dubai Turf (formerly Dubai Duty Free).
Thank God - was not a wise choice - such a wonderful mare - give her a break and GO!
May they run with the WIND
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