Somnambulist wrote: Tessablue wrote:
second_glance wrote:Simon Bray @SimonTVG now
13 of the last 14 two turn races on the main track @santaanitapark ,the winner was no worse than 2nd at every point of call.
Watched some races today -- mostly a conveyor belt.
Don't forget it should remain in SoCal forever, to have and to hold, etc.
I honestly don't watch racing outside of NY often. Is this par for the course?
The Breeders' Cup World Frontrunning Championships! Four days ago, Watchmaker actually did an analysis of the track's biases in the past few weeks - http://www.drf.com/blogs/santa-anita-track-profile
In short, it hasn't looked like a carousel until very recently.
My view on this data is, the relatively low percentage of front-running speed winners to overall speed winners suggests that there is not a developing, or existing, speed bias on the main track at Santa Anita that is so dominating as to render secondary all other handicapping considerations. That said, it is undeniable that there is a trend over this given period where it has become increasingly preferable to be very close to, if not right on, the early pace on dirt at Santa Anita.
Probable dirt bias aside, this is a fun year. Eight returning winners, eight G1 winners in the Turf and F&M Turf, an interesting field in the Mile, some fascinating betting races... I won't complain about the fields. This is what it's all about.