Breeders' Cup News & Notes

Tessablue
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 10:43 am

Somnambulist wrote:
Tessablue wrote:
second_glance wrote:Simon Bray ‏@SimonTVG now
13 of the last 14 two turn races on the main track @santaanitapark ,the winner was no worse than 2nd at every point of call.


Watched some races today -- mostly a conveyor belt.
ugh
Don't forget it should remain in SoCal forever, to have and to hold, etc.

I honestly don't watch racing outside of NY often. Is this par for the course?
The Breeders' Cup World Frontrunning Championships! Four days ago, Watchmaker actually did an analysis of the track's biases in the past few weeks - http://www.drf.com/blogs/santa-anita-track-profile In short, it hasn't looked like a carousel until very recently.
My view on this data is, the relatively low percentage of front-running speed winners to overall speed winners suggests that there is not a developing, or existing, speed bias on the main track at Santa Anita that is so dominating as to render secondary all other handicapping considerations. That said, it is undeniable that there is a trend over this given period where it has become increasingly preferable to be very close to, if not right on, the early pace on dirt at Santa Anita.
Probable dirt bias aside, this is a fun year. Eight returning winners, eight G1 winners in the Turf and F&M Turf, an interesting field in the Mile, some fascinating betting races... I won't complain about the fields. This is what it's all about.
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serenassong
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 10:58 am

Cleburne out of Juv with bucked shin, will be ok
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/ ... ucked-shin
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second_glance
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 11:20 am

Marty McGee ‏@DRFMcGee 26s
BREAKING NEWS: Taptowne (#1, 15-1) is SCR from the #BreedersCup Dirt Mile (R8) with foot bruise. Feel bad for @tgly and @b_hernandezjr.
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amfuller
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 2:07 pm

second_glance wrote:Marty McGee ‏@DRFMcGee 26s
BREAKING NEWS: Taptowne (#1, 15-1) is SCR from the #BreedersCup Dirt Mile (R8) with foot bruise. Feel bad for @tgly and @b_hernandezjr.
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/ ... -dirt-mile
amfuller
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 2:21 pm

Looks like the track might be a conveyer belt. $77 winner ran wire to wire in the second race.
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Ioya Two
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 2:24 pm

I'd say it is. Heir of Storm went 21.73, 43.7, etc.. 7f in 1:20 4/5.. It appears to be pretty damn fast. We might see some track records today..
Pulpit 1994-2012
BaroqueAgain1
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 2:55 pm

I am not happy to discover that TVG is not showing the races from Santa Anita. I knew that they couldn't show the BC races live, but thought that they could show the undercard. Frack.
Yeah, I get to watch on Calracing...5" image vs. widescreen TV. :evil:
BaroqueAgain1
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 2:59 pm

What a conveyer belt...front-running 47-1 colt wins the Golden State Juvenile.
Be on the front or be a loser.
second_glance
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 3:06 pm

Jay Hovdey ‏@JayHovdey 2m
Warm and cloudless at Breeders' Cup--horses coming back covered with mud. Front runners spared nasty spray.

Image
second_glance
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 3:12 pm

LOL.

horseracinghl ‏@horseracinghl 2m
FWIW, water trucks were out on the track now before the 4th race. In other news, Beholder seen doing jig of glee in shedrow. #BC13
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Ioya Two
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 3:18 pm

Based on the way the track is playing today, and what I've seen so far, Beholder should be the 1/9 favorite for the Distaff. Whoever gets the lead should be the winner.. unless it's Street Girl.
Pulpit 1994-2012
Tessablue
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 3:21 pm

A little over an hour until the Breeders' Cup World Frontrunning Championships begins, everyone!

Hey, at least the turf races will still be fun to handicap...

That being said, I'm ignoring it in the Marathon- no bias can carry a horse an extra half-mile, and it didn't make a difference last year. As for everything else, if this keeps up... how much would all/all/Beholder cost? ;)
mimi6920
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 3:28 pm

Princess of Sylmar should scratch now. Track bias is too strong, and I would wager it will lead to a Beholder victory and 3 year old filly eclipse. I was really surprised they even went out there given how the track played last year. It was the sporting thing to do, but I don't really think it was the right thing. I may eat my words in a little bit, but a speed bias of that magnitude takes most of the guess work out of it
carole
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 3:43 pm

Well this is a 6 horse field, even if PoS is close to the pace she's in a good spot. Though of course I'm rooting with all my heart for Royal Delta! :mrgreen:
Happy Endings
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 3:52 pm

Don't know if this was already posted, but Easter Gift is scratched from the Dirt Mile.
I found my sneakers!
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Ioya Two
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 4:01 pm

Happy Endings wrote:Don't know if this was already posted, but Easter Gift is scratched from the Dirt Mile.
He was on the AE list; was scratched yesterday, I think.

Yeah, Beholder is looking more and more likely a winner. Although with Royal Delta liking to run on the lead, the bias could help her a lot too.
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Carotene
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 4:03 pm

amfuller wrote:Promo for 2013 Breeders Cup someone made. It's a very good video.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_Vjob9PLso#t=168
That was a great video! Horse racing in slow motion really gives me chills and some tears in my eyes. In slow motion, you can really appreciate their grace, beauty and strength.

It's ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I'm in SW Ontario and found it on TSN2 (Bell channel 401).

Good luck to all the runners and prayers that they all come home safe and sound.

ENJOY! :)
Jenn
Formerly Play the King
Happy Endings
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 4:33 pm

Ioya Two wrote:
Happy Endings wrote:Don't know if this was already posted, but Easter Gift is scratched from the Dirt Mile.
He was on the AE list; was scratched yesterday, I think.

Yeah, Beholder is looking more and more likely a winner. Although with Royal Delta liking to run on the lead, the bias could help her a lot too.
Yes, I knew Easter Gift was AE. With Taptowne out now, there would have been room for Easter Gift, but maybe we'll see him in something else back east later on.
I found my sneakers!
Somnambulist
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Fri Nov 01, 2013 4:47 pm

Tessablue wrote:Hey, at least the turf races will still be fun to handicap...
Unless that is just green cement.

For three seconds I was sad I wasn't there, but 83? Fuck that. I'll take my 60 degree NY weather. Summer ended like a month ago..
"Life's no piece of cake, mind you, but the recipe's my own to fool with."
PJMIII
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Sat Nov 02, 2013 7:57 am

From Brisnet

A crowd of 35,833 was on hand at Santa Anita Park Friday for the first day of the 30th Breeders' Cup World Championships. The attendance figure represented a 3.5 percent increase over the 2012 Friday attendance at Santa Anita of 34,619. Total handle for Friday's 11-race card was $51,521,146, up 8 percent from the 2012 figure of $47,586,765. Total handle for the five Breeders' Cup races was $35,549,196. "We're off to a very solid start for what promises to be an excellent weekend of world class racing and we are encouraged by the response of the fans both here and around the country," Breeders' Cup President and CEO Craig Fravel said. On-track handle for the day reached $7,205,145.
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